RTX:NYSERTX Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$174.85
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
RTX is trading at $174.85, well above the DCF‑derived fair value of $75.75 and a trailing P/E of 32.8 that exceeds the industry average of 29.5, suggesting the stock is currently overvalued. The price sits just below the 20‑day SMA (175.43) and markedly under the 50‑day SMA (188.74), while the RSI of 40.6 indicates neutral momentum and the MACD histogram (+0.65) points to a modest bullish signal. Volatility remains elevated at 25.6% over the past 30 days, but the beta of 0.49 signals low systematic risk, and trading volume is stable. A dividend of $0.73 per share (1.58% yield) with a 51% payout ratio and recent board approval of a 7.4% increase underscores a sustainable income stream.
Fundamentally, RTX posted 8.7% revenue growth, solid operating margins (13.2%) and robust free cash flow of $7.23 B, supporting its dividend and ongoing investments such as the $26.5 M Collins Aerospace expansion in Florida. Analysts consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target of $215, reflecting confidence in defense spending and aerospace demand, though the company's debt‑to‑equity of 57.2% and a forward P/E of 23.1 temper enthusiasm. The blend of stable defense contracts, dividend growth, and strategic capital deployment positions RTX for medium‑ to long‑term upside despite short‑term pricing pressure.
Fundamentally, RTX posted 8.7% revenue growth, solid operating margins (13.2%) and robust free cash flow of $7.23 B, supporting its dividend and ongoing investments such as the $26.5 M Collins Aerospace expansion in Florida. Analysts consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target of $215, reflecting confidence in defense spending and aerospace demand, though the company's debt‑to‑equity of 57.2% and a forward P/E of 23.1 temper enthusiasm. The blend of stable defense contracts, dividend growth, and strategic capital deployment positions RTX for medium‑ to long‑term upside despite short‑term pricing pressure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMA but near support level
- Bullish MACD histogram despite neutral RSI
- Sustained dividend with recent increase
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 8.7% revenue growth and strong free cash flow
- Defense budget outlook supporting earnings
- Analyst consensus “Buy” with $215 mean target
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term defense and aerospace demand trends
- Stable dividend yield and sustainable payout ratio
- Strategic investments like Collins Aerospace expansion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.70%
Profit Margin8.03%
P/E Ratio32.8
ROE11.57%
ROA4.05%
Debt/Equity57.23
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$11.1B
Free Cash Flow$7.2B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.6
Support$170.78
Resistance$182.64
MA 20$175.43
MA 50$188.74
MA 200$180.07
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$75.75
Target Price$215.27
Upside/Downside23.12%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.58%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.49
Volatility25.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.