RSG:NYSERepublic Services, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time
$208.15
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Republic Services is trading at $208.15, notably below its 20‑day ($213.14), 50‑day ($219.18) and 200‑day ($221.45) moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 41.5 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce this downside bias, with the price hovering just above the identified support of $204.26 and well under the resistance at $224.99.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: its trailing P/E of 30.4 is slightly below the industry average of 30.8, while the forward P/E contracts to 25.9, implying earnings growth expectations. The DCF‑derived fair value of $40.19 (suggesting a 17.9% upside to the consensus target median of $250) and a dividend yield of 1.2% with a modest 35% payout ratio indicate room for upside and sustainable shareholder returns. Recent operational news, such as the opening of an upgraded Peabody Recycling Center, underscores the company's commitment to capacity expansion and pricing power, offering a positive catalyst amid the current technical weakness.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: its trailing P/E of 30.4 is slightly below the industry average of 30.8, while the forward P/E contracts to 25.9, implying earnings growth expectations. The DCF‑derived fair value of $40.19 (suggesting a 17.9% upside to the consensus target median of $250) and a dividend yield of 1.2% with a modest 35% payout ratio indicate room for upside and sustainable shareholder returns. Recent operational news, such as the opening of an upgraded Peabody Recycling Center, underscores the company's commitment to capacity expansion and pricing power, offering a positive catalyst amid the current technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
- Proximity to technical support at $204.26
- Upcoming earnings release may clarify momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to forward earnings (forward P/E 25.9)
- Strong operating cash flow and sustainable dividend
- Capacity expansion via new recycling facility boosting pricing power
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Defensive waste‑management sector with steady demand
- Consistent cash generation supporting dividend and debt service
- Long‑term growth from regulatory trends favoring recycling and waste reduction
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.20%
Profit Margin12.89%
P/E Ratio30.4
ROE18.30%
ROA6.22%
Debt/Equity115.35
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash Flow$4.3B
Free Cash Flow$1.8B
Industry P/E30.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.5
Support$204.26
Resistance$224.99
MA 20$213.14
MA 50$219.18
MA 200$221.45
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.59
Valuation
Fair Value$40.19
Target Price$245.38
Upside/Downside17.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.20%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility21.29%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.