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RSG:NYSERepublic Services, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time

$208.15

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Republic Services is trading at $208.15, notably below its 20‑day ($213.14), 50‑day ($219.18) and 200‑day ($221.45) moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 41.5 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce this downside bias, with the price hovering just above the identified support of $204.26 and well under the resistance at $224.99.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: its trailing P/E of 30.4 is slightly below the industry average of 30.8, while the forward P/E contracts to 25.9, implying earnings growth expectations. The DCF‑derived fair value of $40.19 (suggesting a 17.9% upside to the consensus target median of $250) and a dividend yield of 1.2% with a modest 35% payout ratio indicate room for upside and sustainable shareholder returns. Recent operational news, such as the opening of an upgraded Peabody Recycling Center, underscores the company's commitment to capacity expansion and pricing power, offering a positive catalyst amid the current technical weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
  • Proximity to technical support at $204.26
  • Upcoming earnings release may clarify momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to forward earnings (forward P/E 25.9)
  • Strong operating cash flow and sustainable dividend
  • Capacity expansion via new recycling facility boosting pricing power

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive waste‑management sector with steady demand
  • Consistent cash generation supporting dividend and debt service
  • Long‑term growth from regulatory trends favoring recycling and waste reduction

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.20%
Profit Margin12.89%
P/E Ratio30.4
ROE18.30%
ROA6.22%
Debt/Equity115.35
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash Flow$4.3B
Free Cash Flow$1.8B
Industry P/E30.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.5
Support$204.26
Resistance$224.99
MA 20$213.14
MA 50$219.18
MA 200$221.45
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.59

Valuation

Fair Value$40.19
Target Price$245.38
Upside/Downside17.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.16
Volatility21.29%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.