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9501:TSETokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

¥624.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Tokyo Electric Power Co. (9501.T) is trading at ¥624, well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥667 and 200‑day SMA of ¥644, indicating a price weakness despite the model’s bullish trend label. The RSI of 43 suggests neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces downside pressure. Fundamentally, the company reports a trailing EPS of -¥462 and a profit margin of -11.5%, with a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 200, far exceeding typical utility norms. Valuation metrics such as a forward PE of 2.94, price‑to‑book of 0.32, and a price‑to‑sales of 0.15 highlight a deep discount relative to the industry average PE of 20.6, yet the ongoing net losses and massive debt cloud any upside potential.
Material news confirms continued losses, with a recent nine‑month net loss driven by ¥70.6 billion in expenses, underscoring the earnings challenges. Combined with high 30‑day volatility (~60%) and a low beta (~0.18), the stock presents a high‑risk, low‑reward profile, making short‑term exposure unattractive despite the apparent valuation gap.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Negative earnings and profit margin
  • Bearish MACD and price below key moving averages
  • Extremely high debt-to-equity ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from deep valuation discount
  • Stabilizing volume and modest beta
  • Uncertainty around debt reduction and regulatory outcomes

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term utility demand in Japan
  • Ongoing restructuring and decommissioning costs
  • Low dividend yield limiting income appeal

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.10%
Profit Margin-11.53%
P/E Ratio2.9
ROE-21.52%
ROA0.77%
Debt/Equity211.17
P/B Ratio0.3
Industry P/E20.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.5
Support¥587.30
Resistance¥729.90
MA 20¥666.88
MA 50¥663.32
MA 200¥644.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.39

Valuation

Target Price¥355.00
Upside/Downside-43.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility59.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.