9501:TSETokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
¥624.00
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Tokyo Electric Power Co. (9501.T) is trading at ¥624, well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥667 and 200‑day SMA of ¥644, indicating a price weakness despite the model’s bullish trend label. The RSI of 43 suggests neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces downside pressure. Fundamentally, the company reports a trailing EPS of -¥462 and a profit margin of -11.5%, with a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 200, far exceeding typical utility norms. Valuation metrics such as a forward PE of 2.94, price‑to‑book of 0.32, and a price‑to‑sales of 0.15 highlight a deep discount relative to the industry average PE of 20.6, yet the ongoing net losses and massive debt cloud any upside potential.
Material news confirms continued losses, with a recent nine‑month net loss driven by ¥70.6 billion in expenses, underscoring the earnings challenges. Combined with high 30‑day volatility (~60%) and a low beta (~0.18), the stock presents a high‑risk, low‑reward profile, making short‑term exposure unattractive despite the apparent valuation gap.
Material news confirms continued losses, with a recent nine‑month net loss driven by ¥70.6 billion in expenses, underscoring the earnings challenges. Combined with high 30‑day volatility (~60%) and a low beta (~0.18), the stock presents a high‑risk, low‑reward profile, making short‑term exposure unattractive despite the apparent valuation gap.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Negative earnings and profit margin
- Bearish MACD and price below key moving averages
- Extremely high debt-to-equity ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from deep valuation discount
- Stabilizing volume and modest beta
- Uncertainty around debt reduction and regulatory outcomes
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term utility demand in Japan
- Ongoing restructuring and decommissioning costs
- Low dividend yield limiting income appeal
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.10%
Profit Margin-11.53%
P/E Ratio2.9
ROE-21.52%
ROA0.77%
Debt/Equity211.17
P/B Ratio0.3
Industry P/E20.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.5
Support¥587.30
Resistance¥729.90
MA 20¥666.88
MA 50¥663.32
MA 200¥644.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.39
Valuation
Target Price¥355.00
Upside/Downside-43.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility59.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.