We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

RRGB:NASDAQRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time

$3.81

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Red Robin (RRGB) is trading well below its consensus target range, offering more than 150% upside potential. The stock is currently priced beneath its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a bearish technical backdrop, yet the MACD has turned bullish and volume is on the rise, suggesting a possible short‑term bounce. Fundamentals are weak – the company reports negative earnings, slim gross margins and a high debt load – but analysts remain optimistic, reflected in a "strong buy" consensus and a forward PE in the high‑60s.
The extreme‑greed sentiment in the market, combined with a low current price relative to historical highs, creates a speculative play: upside is attractive if the turnaround in operations materializes, but the high beta, 30‑day volatility above 60%, and sizable debt amplify risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages indicating bearish bias
  • Bullish MACD crossover and rising volume hint at a potential bounce
  • High volatility and beta increase downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consensus target price suggests >150% upside
  • Analyst consensus is strong‑buy despite current earnings weakness
  • Improving cash flow trends and potential operational turnaround

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental challenges – negative margins, high debt, zero dividend
  • Consumer‑cyclical exposure makes performance tied to discretionary spending
  • Long‑term upside hinges on successful restructuring and brand revitalization

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.70%
Profit Margin-1.92%
P/E Ratio67.2
ROA1.38%
P/B Ratio-0.6
Op. Cash Flow$37.0M
Free Cash Flow$31.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI54.8
Support$2.67
Resistance$4.37
MA 20$3.60
MA 50$3.63
MA 200$4.88
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59

Valuation

Target Price$10.13
Upside/Downside165.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.08
Volatility66.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.