RMD:NYSEResMed Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$252.93
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ResMed (RMD) is trading at $252.93, just above its 20‑day SMA (≈$257) and marginally below the 50‑day SMA (≈$255), indicating a price that is testing short‑term support while still respecting longer‑term averages. The RSI sits at 45.8, suggesting neutral momentum, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Volatility over the past 30 days is high at 32.4% and beta is modest at 0.67, reflecting a stock that moves sharply but is less correlated with the broader market. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating demand in the near term.
Fundamentally, RMD posted 11% revenue growth, a 61% gross margin and a 27.5% profit margin, with EPS accelerating 15.6% YoY in the latest quarter. The forward PE of 20.8 is slightly below the industry average of 25.4, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $217.77 leaves the market price about 17.6% above intrinsic, yet still below the consensus target median of $300, implying upside potential. Dividend sustainability looks strong with a 0.95% yield, a low 22% payout ratio and robust free cash flow. Recent earnings beat and margin expansion provide a catalyst, but technical indicators and decreasing volume suggest caution in the very short run.
Fundamentally, RMD posted 11% revenue growth, a 61% gross margin and a 27.5% profit margin, with EPS accelerating 15.6% YoY in the latest quarter. The forward PE of 20.8 is slightly below the industry average of 25.4, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $217.77 leaves the market price about 17.6% above intrinsic, yet still below the consensus target median of $300, implying upside potential. Dividend sustainability looks strong with a 0.95% yield, a low 22% payout ratio and robust free cash flow. Recent earnings beat and margin expansion provide a catalyst, but technical indicators and decreasing volume suggest caution in the very short run.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings beat but bearish MACD momentum
- Price testing support near $245.65
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 11% revenue growth and expanding margins
- Forward PE below industry average and upside to target median
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strong ROE (≈25%) and recurring cloud‑based software revenue
- Demographic tailwinds for sleep and respiratory health
- Robust cash generation supporting dividend and strategic investments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.00%
Profit Margin27.53%
P/E Ratio25.0
ROE25.68%
ROA14.74%
Debt/Equity13.41
P/B Ratio5.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.9B
Free Cash Flow$1.4B
Industry P/E25.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.8
Support$245.65
Resistance$277.67
MA 20$257.08
MA 50$255.03
MA 200$260.71
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.04
Valuation
Fair Value$217.77
Target Price$297.47
Upside/Downside17.61%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.95%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility32.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.