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RICK:NASDAQRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$27.34

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

RCI Hospitality Holdings is trading close to its short‑term support level while hovering just below its 20‑day moving average, which sits near the 50‑day average, indicating a bearish technical alignment despite a bullish MACD histogram. The RSI is in the upper‑mid range, hinting at overbought pressure, and the stock is approaching a resistance zone just under the recent high, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. Volatility remains elevated with a 30‑day swing well above market norms, and a beta above one points to amplified moves relative to the broader market. On the fundamentals side, the company posted a modest revenue decline, a loss per share in the latest quarter, and a negative profit margin, yet it generates positive operating cash flow and maintains a modest dividend payout of $0.08 per share with a low payout ratio, supporting dividend sustainability. The DCF model places fair value substantially above the current price, flagging the stock as potentially undervalued, but the heavy debt load and sector‑specific regulatory exposure temper optimism.
Overall, the blend of bearish technical signals, high volatility, and a financially stressed balance sheet suggests caution, while the undervaluation thesis and dividend yield provide a modest upside catalyst for investors with a longer horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram but bearish SMA crossover
  • Approaching resistance with limited upside
  • High short‑term volatility and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF suggests significant upside relative to current price
  • Modest dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Potential recovery in nightclub segment and positive cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Heavy debt burden limits financial flexibility
  • Consumer‑cyclical exposure and regulatory headwinds
  • Sustainable dividend provides some floor to returns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin-2.31%
P/E Ratio6.5
ROE-2.51%
ROA4.00%
Debt/Equity119.44
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$45.2M
Free Cash Flow$32.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI66.6
Support$23.36
Resistance$27.80
MA 20$24.92
MA 50$24.94
MA 200$25.63
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$34.37
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.34
Volatility37.14%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.