REZI:NYSEResideo Technologies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
$29.01
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Resideo Technologies (REZI) is trading at $29.01, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (≈$36), placing it in a bearish technical environment. The RSI of 30.4 hints at oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD (line –2.70 vs signal –1.51) and a widening histogram support short‑term downside pressure, though volume is increasing and the price sits above the computed support of $26.72. The stock’s beta of >2 and a 30‑day volatility of ~72% underscore heightened market sensitivity.
Fundamentally, REZI posted 8% YoY revenue growth to $7.6 B with a 28.8% gross margin, but a negative profit margin (‑6.5%) and negative operating cash flow highlight profitability challenges. The company carries $3.5 B of debt (Debt/Equity >120%) against $440 M of cash, yet generates positive EBITDA ($858 M) and modest free cash flow ($128 M). Forward earnings are projected at $3.13 with a forward P/E of 9.3, well below the industry average of 29.5, and analysts rate the stock a “strong buy” with a $49 target, implying ~69% upside. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 91.5) further fuels optimism despite the risks.
Fundamentally, REZI posted 8% YoY revenue growth to $7.6 B with a 28.8% gross margin, but a negative profit margin (‑6.5%) and negative operating cash flow highlight profitability challenges. The company carries $3.5 B of debt (Debt/Equity >120%) against $440 M of cash, yet generates positive EBITDA ($858 M) and modest free cash flow ($128 M). Forward earnings are projected at $3.13 with a forward P/E of 9.3, well below the industry average of 29.5, and analysts rate the stock a “strong buy” with a $49 target, implying ~69% upside. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 91.5) further fuels optimism despite the risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support and oversold RSI
- Increasing volume suggesting potential bounce
- High upside potential relative to current price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS positivity and low forward P/E vs industry
- Revenue growth and strong EBITDA
- Analyst target price of $49 indicating ~69% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt load and negative operating cash flow
- Potential value creation from ADI Global Distribution spin‑off
- Sustained market optimism but high volatility and beta
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.00%
Profit Margin-6.50%
P/E Ratio9.3
ROE-15.79%
ROA5.06%
Debt/Equity120.33
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$-1216999936
Free Cash Flow$127.8M
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.4
Support$26.72
Resistance$41.76
MA 20$36.02
MA 50$36.09
MA 200$36.31
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Target Price$49.00
Upside/Downside68.91%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.27
Volatility71.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.