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REFR:NASDAQResearch Frontiers Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time

$0.54

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical indicators paint a bleak picture. The 20‑day SMA (≈0.62) sits below the 50‑day SMA (≈0.73) and far beneath the 200‑day SMA (≈1.20), confirming a sustained bearish trend. RSI is around 34, hinting at oversold conditions, yet the MACD line remains under its signal line with a negative histogram, signalling continued downside momentum. The stock trades at $0.54, precariously close to the computed support level of $0.48 and well under the resistance at $0.81, while volume is rising but remains thin relative to averages.
Fundamental health is equally troubling. Revenue has collapsed by roughly 75%, margins are deeply negative, and EBITDA is a multi‑million‑dollar loss. Cash flow is negative, and although cash slightly exceeds debt, the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 60%, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. The price‑to‑book ratio of over 10×, zero earnings, and a market cap under $20 M underscore severe valuation concerns, compounded by extreme 30‑day volatility (~95%) and a beta near market level.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish SMA crossover and MACD divergence
  • Price hovering near technical support
  • Negative earnings and cash burn

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential restructuring of debt
  • Increasing trading volume may signal accumulating interest
  • Continued revenue decline limits upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent negative margins and cash flow
  • High leverage relative to cash reserves
  • Elevated volatility and limited liquidity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-75.60%
P/E Ratio-9.0
ROE-113.70%
ROA-44.22%
Debt/Equity63.41
P/B Ratio10.6
Op. Cash Flow$-1447821
Free Cash Flow$-435808
Industry P/E33.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI34.0
Support$0.48
Resistance$0.81
MA 20$0.62
MA 50$0.73
MA 200$1.20
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.01
Volatility95.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.