REFR:NASDAQResearch Frontiers Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time
$0.54
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical indicators paint a bleak picture. The 20‑day SMA (≈0.62) sits below the 50‑day SMA (≈0.73) and far beneath the 200‑day SMA (≈1.20), confirming a sustained bearish trend. RSI is around 34, hinting at oversold conditions, yet the MACD line remains under its signal line with a negative histogram, signalling continued downside momentum. The stock trades at $0.54, precariously close to the computed support level of $0.48 and well under the resistance at $0.81, while volume is rising but remains thin relative to averages.
Fundamental health is equally troubling. Revenue has collapsed by roughly 75%, margins are deeply negative, and EBITDA is a multi‑million‑dollar loss. Cash flow is negative, and although cash slightly exceeds debt, the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 60%, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. The price‑to‑book ratio of over 10×, zero earnings, and a market cap under $20 M underscore severe valuation concerns, compounded by extreme 30‑day volatility (~95%) and a beta near market level.
Fundamental health is equally troubling. Revenue has collapsed by roughly 75%, margins are deeply negative, and EBITDA is a multi‑million‑dollar loss. Cash flow is negative, and although cash slightly exceeds debt, the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 60%, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. The price‑to‑book ratio of over 10×, zero earnings, and a market cap under $20 M underscore severe valuation concerns, compounded by extreme 30‑day volatility (~95%) and a beta near market level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bearish SMA crossover and MACD divergence
- Price hovering near technical support
- Negative earnings and cash burn
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential restructuring of debt
- Increasing trading volume may signal accumulating interest
- Continued revenue decline limits upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Persistent negative margins and cash flow
- High leverage relative to cash reserves
- Elevated volatility and limited liquidity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-75.60%
P/E Ratio-9.0
ROE-113.70%
ROA-44.22%
Debt/Equity63.41
P/B Ratio10.6
Op. Cash Flow$-1447821
Free Cash Flow$-435808
Industry P/E33.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.0
Support$0.48
Resistance$0.81
MA 20$0.62
MA 50$0.73
MA 200$1.20
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.01
Volatility95.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.