REFR:NASDAQResearch Frontiers Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time
$0.41
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $0.4147, Research Frontiers Incorporated shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 10.9%. Relative strength is 37.7 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $0.4000 and resistance at $0.5300.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is contracting at 33.5%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 79.3%, a beta of 1.18 and a maximum drawdown of 83.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 7/10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is contracting at 33.5%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 79.3%, a beta of 1.18 and a maximum drawdown of 83.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 7/10.
Top Market Events
WOODBURY, NY, Aug. 03, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Research Frontiers Inc. Nasdaq: REFR announced today that it will...WOODBURY, N.Y., Aug. 06, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Research Frontiers Inc. Nasdaq: REFR announced its financial results...KLIM AND RESEARCH FRONTIERS ENTER INTO LICENSING AGREEMENT.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 0.94
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 0.94
- 30-day volatility of 79.3%
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Negative return on equity of -154.0%
- Revenue contracting at -33.5%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-33.50%
P/E Ratio-6.9
ROE-154.02%
ROA-50.41%
Debt/Equity97.46
P/B Ratio8.1
Op. Cash Flow$-1560698
Free Cash Flow$-597432
Industry P/E33.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.7
Support$0.40
Resistance$0.53
MA 20$0.45
MA 50$0.48
MA 200$0.94
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.18
Volatility79.26%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.