RACE:MILFerrari NV Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
€299.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ferrari’s share price is trading below its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages and the MACD is in a bearish configuration, suggesting short‑term momentum weakness. The RSI sits near the midpoint, volume has been tapering, and the stock is perched above a recent support level while still far from the next resistance. Analyst sentiment remains positive, with a consensus “buy” and a median price target that implies a substantial upside, while the dividend payout ratio is modest, indicating sustainability.
Fundamentally, the company delivers robust profitability with high gross and operating margins and an exceptionally strong return on equity. Revenue growth remains modest but steady, cash generation is healthy, and the balance sheet, though leveraged, is supported by strong cash flow. The brand’s premium positioning and diversified revenue streams from cars, licensing, and experiences underpin a resilient long‑term outlook.
Fundamentally, the company delivers robust profitability with high gross and operating margins and an exceptionally strong return on equity. Revenue growth remains modest but steady, cash generation is healthy, and the balance sheet, though leveraged, is supported by strong cash flow. The brand’s premium positioning and diversified revenue streams from cars, licensing, and experiences underpin a resilient long‑term outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited downside
- Positive analyst consensus and upside potential
- Sustainable dividend supporting total return
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong profitability and cash flow generation
- Brand premium enabling pricing power
- Target price upside aligned with earnings trajectory
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Durable competitive advantage in luxury performance segment
- Consistent high returns on equity and capital
- Diversified revenue from licensing and experiences reducing reliance on car sales
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin22.35%
P/E Ratio33.3
ROE42.89%
ROA13.75%
Debt/Equity73.68
P/B Ratio13.6
Op. Cash Flow€2.3B
Free Cash Flow€839.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.7
Support€291.20
Resistance€330.20
MA 20€312.45
MA 50€304.47
MA 200€364.95
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.05
Valuation
Fair Value€69.00
Target Price€371.36
Upside/Downside24.16%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.23%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility41.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.