QUAD:NYSEQuad Graphics, Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$7.33
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Quad/Graphics is trading around $7.33, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $7.55 and the 50‑day SMA of $7.14, which signals a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. RSI sits near 49, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 64% and a beta under 1 point to moderate price swings. The company posted a modest Q1 profit of $6.2 million and reaffirmed its full‑year guidance, but revenue is down 7.7% year‑over‑year, highlighting a challenging top‑line environment. Dividend yield remains attractive at 5.46%, with a payout ratio of about 56%, though the balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 390, raising questions about long‑term financial flexibility. The DCF‑derived fair value of $6.46 sits below the current market price, implying the stock is currently priced above intrinsic expectations. Overall, Quad/Graphics offers a solid dividend and modest valuation relative to industry PE, but growth constraints and leverage temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages but MACD turning bearish
- Neutral RSI and high near‑term volatility
- Strong dividend yield supporting price floor
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Valuation below industry average PE
- Bullish trend direction despite modest earnings growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
- Revenue contraction and low operating margins
- Potential upside if the company successfully diversifies beyond print
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.70%
Profit Margin1.16%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE25.61%
ROA5.31%
Debt/Equity398.02
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$91.2M
Free Cash Flow$64.0M
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.8
Support$6.85
Resistance$8.64
MA 20$7.55
MA 50$7.14
MA 200$6.43
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59
Valuation
Fair Value$6.46
Target Price$9.93
Upside/Downside35.52%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility63.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.