QFLS:QSEQatar Fuel-Woqod QSC Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
QAR 14.36
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
QFLS is trading at QAR 14.36, comfortably below its 20‑day (15.00), 50‑day (15.29) and 200‑day (15.07) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term weakness despite a neutral overall trend. The RSI of 33.7 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, and volume has been on a downtrend, pointing to limited buying pressure. On the valuation side, the PE of 13.68 is well under the industry average of 22.18, and the dividend yield sits at an attractive 6.24%, though the payout ratio is high at 95%. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of QAR 9.24 is far below the market price, flagging potential overvaluation from a cash‑flow perspective. The company’s fundamentals show modest revenue decline, thin margins, solid liquidity, and low leverage, but the sustainability of the dividend is questionable given the high payout and modest free cash flow.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near support at QAR 14.23
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to industry PE
- High dividend yield offering income
- Potential upside of ~17% to target price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Low beta indicating defensive profile
- Stable cash flow but thin operating margins
- Dividend sustainability concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.70%
Profit Margin4.01%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE11.92%
ROA2.77%
Debt/Equity12.06
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash FlowQAR1.1B
Free Cash FlowQAR550.4M
Industry P/E22.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI33.7
SupportQAR 14.23
ResistanceQAR 16.10
MA 20QAR 15.00
MA 50QAR 15.29
MA 200QAR 15.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index74.95
Valuation
Fair ValueQAR 9.24
Target PriceQAR 16.84
Upside/Downside17.24%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.24%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility21.64%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.