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QEWS:QSENebras Energy Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

QAR 14.44

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nebras Energy Q.P.S.C. trades at QAR 14.44, below its 20‑day SMA (14.87) and 50‑day SMA (15.23), with an RSI of 37 and a bearish MACD, signaling short‑term weakness. Yet its trailing P/E of 11.6 is well under the industry average of 23.3 and it offers a 5.19% dividend yield with a 62.5% payout ratio, presenting clear value appeal. The DCF‑derived fair value of QAR 9.77 indicates the market price is roughly 35% above intrinsic estimates, implying downside risk.
Fundamentally, operating margins remain healthy at 34% and gross margin at 32.7%, but revenue fell 4.1% YoY and free cash flow is negative, while net debt exceeds QAR 4.3 bn after cash offsets. The pending acquisition with ENGIE could provide a growth catalyst, yet regulatory and geographic concentration in Qatar introduce medium‑level risk, leaving the stock in a mixed position between value attractiveness and bearish technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI indicating limited upside
  • Attractive dividend yield provides income cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation discount to industry peers (low P/E)
  • Potential earnings uplift from ENGIE acquisition
  • Stable regulated cash flows supporting dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend payout and regulated revenue base
  • High net debt and negative free cash flow limit growth
  • Long‑term sector stability offset by geographic concentration

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.10%
Profit Margin46.54%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE8.73%
ROA1.96%
Debt/Equity44.24
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowQAR1.6B
Free Cash FlowQAR-1287940864
Industry P/E23.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.1
SupportQAR 14.15
ResistanceQAR 15.55
MA 20QAR 14.87
MA 50QAR 15.23
MA 200QAR 15.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueQAR 9.77
Target PriceQAR 19.55
Upside/Downside35.39%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility18.72%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.