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QCOM:NASDAQQUALCOMM Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$138.11

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

QUALCOMM is trading at $138.11, comfortably below its DCF fair value of $164.6, implying roughly 15% upside. The price sits under the 20‑day SMA (140.9) and the 50‑day SMA (153.7), showing short‑term bearish pressure, yet the MACD histogram turned positive (+0.28) and the RSI at 39 points to oversold conditions. A beta of 1.49 and 30‑day volatility of 34% indicate higher price swings, though volume remains stable. The PE of 27.8 is well under the industry average of 36.9, and a forward PE of 12.3 signals accelerating earnings. The dividend yield of 2.6% with a 71% payout is supported by strong free cash flow of $10.4 B.
Recent strategic announcements — an expanded partnership with Anterix to bring private wireless broadband to utilities and a joint effort with T‑Mobile to push from 5G Advanced toward 6G — provide a clear growth catalyst. The company’s 5% revenue growth, 55% gross margin, and ROE of 21% underscore solid fundamentals. With a market cap of $147 B and a solid balance sheet (cash > $11 B, debt‑to‑equity 64%), the dividend appears sustainable. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, upside potential, and favorable industry tailwinds supports a positive outlook. Investors should monitor the execution of 6G initiatives as they could further accelerate earnings growth.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical oversold signal (RSI 39)
  • Positive MACD histogram
  • Recent partnership announcements as near‑term catalyst

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap vs DCF and industry PE
  • Forward earnings acceleration (forward PE 12.3)
  • Sustainable dividend supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular 5G/6G and private wireless growth
  • Strong cash generation and balance sheet
  • Strategic licensing and ecosystem investments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin11.96%
P/E Ratio27.8
ROE21.48%
ROA14.05%
Debt/Equity64.22
P/B Ratio6.4
Op. Cash Flow$14.4B
Free Cash Flow$10.4B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.0
Support$132.46
Resistance$146.94
MA 20$140.88
MA 50$153.75
MA 200$160.30
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$164.62
Target Price$159.54
Upside/Downside15.52%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.62%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.49
Volatility34.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.