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PTC:NASDAQPTC Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$159.52

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PTC is trading below its 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages while staying just above the 20‑day average, signaling a short‑term bearish bias despite a neutral RSI and a bullish MACD histogram. Volatility remains elevated and beta tracks closely with the market, underscoring heightened price swings. The discounted cash‑flow model suggests a substantial upside versus the current market price, and the stock is trading at a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, indicating potential undervaluation.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong gross and operating margins, robust revenue growth, and healthy cash generation, supported by a buy rating from analysts. Recent earnings beat expectations, yet analysts have trimmed price targets, and a competitive AI announcement from Google introduced a near‑term pull‑back. Overall, the blend of solid fundamentals and attractive valuation outweighs the short‑term technical weakness, making PTC a compelling buy for medium‑ to long‑term horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below longer‑term moving averages
  • Recent earnings beat but price‑target reductions
  • Elevated volatility and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Analyst consensus remains on the buy side

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for PLM, IoT, and AR software platforms
  • Consistent cash flow generation and manageable debt profile
  • Strategic product portfolio positioning in the digital manufacturing ecosystem

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.40%
Profit Margin28.61%
P/E Ratio23.5
ROE23.14%
ROA11.24%
Debt/Equity35.94
P/B Ratio4.9
Op. Cash Flow$899.0M
Free Cash Flow$786.9M
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.9
Support$147.14
Resistance$168.55
MA 20$157.52
MA 50$162.18
MA 200$183.74
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$210.71
Target Price$195.00
Upside/Downside22.24%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.00
Volatility37.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.