PSX:NYSE

Phillips 66

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$163.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Phillips 66’s price is firmly above its short‑, intermediate‑ and long‑term moving averages, while the RSI remains in the upper‑mid range, indicating continued buying pressure. The MACD line sits above its signal, producing a bullish histogram, and volume has been trending higher, supporting the upward momentum. The stock is trading near the top of its recent range, with support comfortably below the current level and resistance near the 52‑week high. Volatility remains elevated, and beta is modestly above one, suggesting the share moves with the broader market but with a slight amplification. Overall, the technical picture points to a bullish short‑term bias.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, delivering a modest price‑to‑book and a low price‑to‑sales ratio, which signals an undervalued valuation. Cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow comfortably covering capital needs and leaving a healthy free‑cash‑flow buffer, while the dividend yield sits in the mid‑single‑digit range with a payout ratio comfortably under 50%, indicating sustainability. Recent earnings beat expectations and the board announced a dividend increase, reinforcing confidence. The pending regulatory approval to purchase heavy crude directly from Venezuela could enhance margins by cutting middle‑man costs. Analyst consensus remains bullish with a “buy” recommendation and price targets near the current trading level.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, MACD bullish)
  • Strong earnings beat and dividend increase
  • Increasing volume supporting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential margin uplift from direct crude purchases from Venezuela
  • Undervalued valuation relative to peers
  • Sustainable dividend with healthy cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Stable, mid‑single‑digit dividend yield
  • Strategic midstream and renewable fuels positioning
  • Consistent cash generation and moderate leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.30%
Profit Margin3.33%
P/E Ratio15.1
ROE15.43%
ROA3.75%
Debt/Equity71.38
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$5.0B
Free Cash Flow$1.3B
Industry P/E20.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.3
Support$149.14
Resistance$169.62
MA 20$158.35
MA 50$147.38
MA 200$133.59
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Target Price$159.55
Upside/Downside-2.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.12%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.12
Volatility29.04%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.