MQG:ASX

Macquarie Group, Ltd.

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

A$198.53

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Macquarie Group is trading at AUD 198.53, comfortably above its nearest support around AUD 190 and below a strong resistance near AUD 224, offering roughly a 13% upside to consensus target prices. The 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages are virtually flat, the RSI sits in the low‑40s and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating a neutral‑to‑bearish short‑term momentum while volume is accelerating, suggesting renewed buying interest. With a beta below 1 and a 30‑day volatility of about 34%, the stock shows lower market sensitivity but higher price swings than typical Australian equities, and market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone, further supporting a potential bounce.
Fundamentally, the PE ratio of roughly 18 is modestly above the industry average of 17.4, yet the dividend yield of 3.85% and a payout ratio near 68% make the stock attractive to income investors. Operating margins remain robust at about 25% despite an 8% decline in revenue, but operating cash flow is negative and free cash flow is zero, raising questions about the long‑term sustainability of the dividend. Debt levels are high, though the debt‑to‑equity metric appears neutral due to the company's capital structure. Analyst consensus leans “Buy” with a median target of AUD 220, reflecting confidence in the firm’s diversified business lines and recent profit acceleration.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Negative MACD but increasing volume suggests a near‑term buying opportunity
  • Dividend yield above 3% adds income appeal
  • Technical support level provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and profit growth reported in recent earnings
  • Consensus target price implies ~13% upside
  • Diversified business segments mitigate single‑line risk

Long Term

> 3 years
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Negative operating cash flow and high debt raise sustainability concerns
  • Revenue contraction could pressure earnings over time
  • Attractive dividend may be vulnerable if cash generation does not improve

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.20%
Profit Margin23.29%
P/E Ratio18.1
ROE13.20%
ROA0.97%
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowA$-32081000448
Industry P/E17.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.9
SupportA$189.87
ResistanceA$223.51
MA 20A$209.19
MA 50A$209.06
MA 200A$213.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Target PriceA$224.48
Upside/Downside13.07%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.78
Volatility34.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.