PRY:MILPrysmian S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
€101.60
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PRY has surged to €101.6, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of €99.76 and the 50‑day SMA of €96.87, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The price sits near a key resistance at €105.75 but is still supported by a technical floor around €92.46, while the RSI of 54 suggests momentum is neither overbought nor oversold. However, the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging lingering bearish pressure despite the overall bullish trend direction. Volatility is elevated at roughly 40% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.70 points to a relatively defensive stock relative to the market.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid growth with 14% revenue expansion and a 21.6% ROE, while maintaining a modest dividend yield of 0.82% and a low payout ratio of 18.6%, supporting dividend sustainability. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 78% and ample cash generation, but the DCF‑derived fair value of €64.6 is far below the current market price, implying the stock is currently overvalued. With the industry PE average higher at 29.5, PRY trades at a discount on a pure earnings basis (PE 23.6), yet the upside/downside metric of -0.5% signals limited upside potential in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid growth with 14% revenue expansion and a 21.6% ROE, while maintaining a modest dividend yield of 0.82% and a low payout ratio of 18.6%, supporting dividend sustainability. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 78% and ample cash generation, but the DCF‑derived fair value of €64.6 is far below the current market price, implying the stock is currently overvalued. With the industry PE average higher at 29.5, PRY trades at a discount on a pure earnings basis (PE 23.6), yet the upside/downside metric of -0.5% signals limited upside potential in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day SMA and strong support level
- Bullish trend direction despite bearish MACD
- Stable volume and low beta reducing immediate market risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth and solid ROE
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value limiting upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for power and telecom cables driven by renewable energy projects
- Strong cash flow generation and manageable debt levels
- Potential price correction towards fair value over an extended horizon
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin6.30%
P/E Ratio23.6
ROE21.64%
ROA6.21%
Debt/Equity77.96
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash Flow€2.2B
Free Cash Flow€867.0M
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.4
Support€92.46
Resistance€105.75
MA 20€99.76
MA 50€96.87
MA 200€80.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.05
Valuation
Fair Value€64.57
Target Price€101.08
Upside/Downside-0.51%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.82%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility39.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.