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POWERINDIA:NSEPOWERINDIA FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-16 - not real-time

₹32,535.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at ₹32,535, essentially matching its 20‑day SMA of ₹32,537 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA, confirming a bullish trend. Momentum indicators are supportive, with the RSI at 58.7 (still below overbought levels) and the MACD histogram turning negative yet the price holding above the 20‑day average. Technical support sits at ₹28,960 and resistance at the 52‑week high of ₹35,095, giving a clear upside corridor. Volatility remains elevated at 34.5% over the past 30 days, and the historical max drawdown of -28.7% suggests sizable downside risk, though the beta of -0.35 (quote beta 0.513) points to low market correlation. The Fear‑Greed Index at 88.5 signals “Extreme Greed,” indicating strong market optimism.
Sector‑wide news of record electricity volumes on the Indian Energy Exchange underscores a tightening supply‑demand backdrop, which aligns with the commodity’s inferred contango curve and low inventory environment. The company’s exposure to USD is minimal, while interest‑rate movements pose a medium sensitivity, and geopolitical factors are deemed low. These dynamics, combined with stable trading volumes, shape a moderate risk profile and suggest a cautious yet opportunistic positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price aligned with 20‑day SMA and bullish trend
  • RSI below overbought threshold
  • Stable volume and clear support/resistance levels

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Tight supply‑demand environment supporting price
  • Elevated volatility and valuation premium
  • Moderate interest‑rate sensitivity

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term energy transition growth prospects
  • Low USD and geopolitical exposure
  • Potential valuation correction from high PE multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price32535
Futures CurveContango
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.7
Support₹28,960.00
Resistance₹35,095.00
MA 20₹32,537.25
MA 50₹28,395.20
MA 200₹21,849.03
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.52

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.35
Volatility34.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.