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PKN:GPWORLEN Spolka Akcyjna Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

€76.88

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: Revvity is trading at €76.88, well below its 20‑day SMA of €81.26 and 50‑day SMA of €86.47, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI sits at 36.5, flirting with oversold territory, while the MACD line (‑2.11) is under the signal line (‑1.87) with a negative histogram, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume is stable but thin, and 30‑day volatility is high at 35.7%, suggesting price swings could be pronounced.
Fundamental outlook: The stock appears significantly overvalued on a price‑to‑earnings basis (PE ≈ 43 vs industry average ≈ 25) and the DCF fair‑value estimate of €59.28 is well below the market price. However, the forward PE of 12.2 signals strong earnings expectations, and revenue is growing at ~6% with healthy gross (≈55%) and operating margins (≈20%). The dividend yield is modest (0.31%) but the payout ratio is low (≈14%), making the dividend sustainable. Debt is high (≈€3.4 bn) with a debt‑to‑equity of 46.9, which adds leverage risk, while cash flow remains positive. Overall, the stock is overvalued in the near term but may offer upside if earnings materialize as forecasted.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE suggests earnings acceleration
  • Persistent overvaluation relative to DCF
  • High leverage and modest ROE

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings growth expectations
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout
  • Potential price correction toward fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.90%
Profit Margin8.45%
P/E Ratio42.9
ROE3.22%
ROA2.22%
Debt/Equity46.87
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow€582.9M
Free Cash Flow€523.3M
Industry P/E25.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.6
Support€76.48
Resistance€87.18
MA 20€81.26
MA 50€86.47
MA 200€81.35
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value€59.28
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.78
Volatility35.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.