PGAS:IDXPT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-04 - not real-time
IDR 1,530.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At IDR 1,530.00, PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have lost 1.3%. RSI sits at 52.2, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near IDR 1,470.00 and resistance around IDR 1,570.00.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 8.6 sits below the sector average of 19.4. Sell-side targets cluster 28.5% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 3.8% on a 6.2% profit margin. The 8.16% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.4%, a beta of 0.29 and a maximum drawdown of 44.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 8.6 sits below the sector average of 19.4. Sell-side targets cluster 28.5% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 3.8% on a 6.2% profit margin. The 8.16% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.4%, a beta of 0.29 and a maximum drawdown of 44.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 5/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
KONTAN.CO.ID - JAKARTA. Pemerintah memangkas harga liquefied natural gas LNG untuk industri. Hal tersebut ternyata...Hosted on MSN1monEkspansi bisnis hidrogen, jadi katalis positif bagi Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS KONTAN.Hosted on MSN1monPGAS dibayangi kebijakan harga gas baru, begini prospek dan rekomendasi sahamnyaKONTAN.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1804.08
- MACD momentum is positive
- Maximum drawdown of 44.3%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 8.6 versus sector average of 19.4
- Dividend yield of 8.16% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1804.08
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 8.6 versus sector average of 19.4
- Dividend yield of 8.16% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +28.5% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.80%
Profit Margin6.19%
P/E Ratio8.6
ROE10.09%
ROA5.30%
Debt/Equity29.05
P/B Ratio13076.9
Op. Cash FlowIDR499.5M
Free Cash FlowIDR228.0M
Industry P/E19.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.2
SupportIDR 1,470.00
ResistanceIDR 1,570.00
MA 20IDR 1,518.25
MA 50IDR 1,491.70
MA 200IDR 1,804.08
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index96.14
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 0.13
Target PriceIDR 1,965.75
Upside/Downside28.48%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.16%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility17.44%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.