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PFE:NYSEPfizer, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$26.81

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pfizer (PFE) has rallied about 11% year‑to‑date and is trading at $26.81, comfortably above its 20‑day ($27.13), 50‑day ($26.28) and 200‑day ($25.13) simple moving averages, signaling a bullish price trend. The stock’s RSI sits near the midpoint at 50.1, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term momentum may be weakening. Fundamentally, the company offers a 6.36% dividend yield but a payout ratio of 126%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. The DCF‑derived fair value of $23.14 is below the current market price, implying a modest overvaluation, yet the P/E of 19.7 is well under the industry average of 25.4, offering a value tilt. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 26%, but beta is low at ~0.5, indicating limited systematic risk. Recent material news highlights positive Phase 3 results for the PADCEV‑Keytruda bladder cancer combo and FDA priority review for HYMPAVZI®, supporting pipeline momentum.
Given the strong cash generation, solid operating margins, and a diversified product suite, the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive, though the high payout ratio and near‑term technical softness temper short‑term enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching the $27.94 resistance level
  • Bearish MACD signal suggesting short‑term momentum weakness
  • Upcoming earnings release that could clarify guidance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Positive Phase 3 oncology trial results (PADCEV + Keytruda)
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
  • Valuation advantage with P/E below industry average

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Robust free cash flow and strong operating margins
  • Diversified pipeline across oncology, obesity, and vaccines
  • Brand strength and global market presence supporting sustainable growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.20%
Profit Margin12.42%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE8.89%
ROA5.68%
Debt/Equity77.96
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$11.7B
Free Cash Flow$13.4B
Industry P/E25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.1
Support$26.20
Resistance$27.94
MA 20$27.13
MA 50$26.28
MA 200$25.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$23.14
Target Price$28.43
Upside/Downside6.03%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.36%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility26.17%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.