PFE:NYSEPfizer, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$26.81
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pfizer (PFE) has rallied about 11% year‑to‑date and is trading at $26.81, comfortably above its 20‑day ($27.13), 50‑day ($26.28) and 200‑day ($25.13) simple moving averages, signaling a bullish price trend. The stock’s RSI sits near the midpoint at 50.1, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term momentum may be weakening. Fundamentally, the company offers a 6.36% dividend yield but a payout ratio of 126%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. The DCF‑derived fair value of $23.14 is below the current market price, implying a modest overvaluation, yet the P/E of 19.7 is well under the industry average of 25.4, offering a value tilt. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 26%, but beta is low at ~0.5, indicating limited systematic risk. Recent material news highlights positive Phase 3 results for the PADCEV‑Keytruda bladder cancer combo and FDA priority review for HYMPAVZI®, supporting pipeline momentum.
Given the strong cash generation, solid operating margins, and a diversified product suite, the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive, though the high payout ratio and near‑term technical softness temper short‑term enthusiasm.
Given the strong cash generation, solid operating margins, and a diversified product suite, the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive, though the high payout ratio and near‑term technical softness temper short‑term enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching the $27.94 resistance level
- Bearish MACD signal suggesting short‑term momentum weakness
- Upcoming earnings release that could clarify guidance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Positive Phase 3 oncology trial results (PADCEV + Keytruda)
- Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
- Valuation advantage with P/E below industry average
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Robust free cash flow and strong operating margins
- Diversified pipeline across oncology, obesity, and vaccines
- Brand strength and global market presence supporting sustainable growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.20%
Profit Margin12.42%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE8.89%
ROA5.68%
Debt/Equity77.96
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$11.7B
Free Cash Flow$13.4B
Industry P/E25.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.1
Support$26.20
Resistance$27.94
MA 20$27.13
MA 50$26.28
MA 200$25.13
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair Value$23.14
Target Price$28.43
Upside/Downside6.03%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.36%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.50
Volatility26.17%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.