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PETROR:NASDAQDUBAIRabigh Refining And Petrochemical Co. Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

R$13.44

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Petroreconcavo (PETROR) is trading at 13.44 BRL, just below the calculated resistance of 13.55 BRL and well above the support of 10.91 BRL, indicating limited upside in the immediate term. The 20‑day SMA (12.43) sits below the current price while the 200‑day SMA (12.47) is also beneath it, suggesting a broader uptrend, yet the RSI at 76 signals that the stock is technically overbought. Momentum remains bullish as the MACD line (0.51) sits above its signal (0.46) and the histogram is positive, but the overall trend is flagged as neutral and volatility is elevated at 32% over the past 30 days. Fundamentally, the company appears attractively priced with a trailing PE of 6.34, a forward PE of 6.91, a price‑to‑book below 1, and an exceptionally high dividend yield of 14.65%, which supports a defensive income play despite market exuberance (Fear & Greed Index 80.77 – Extreme Greed).

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating overbought conditions
  • price near resistance with limited upside
  • high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bullish MACD crossover
  • attractive valuation multiples
  • strong dividend yield supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • sustained low PE and price‑to‑book ratios
  • ongoing income from high dividend yield
  • tight supply‑demand regime favoring price appreciation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price13.44
Futures CurveContango
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI76.0
SupportR$10.91
ResistanceR$13.55
MA 20R$12.43
MA 50R$11.49
MA 200R$12.47
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index80.77

Risk Assessment

Beta0.93
Volatility32.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.