PETDAG:MYXPetronas Dagangan Bhd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
MYR 21.90
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad trades around MYR 21.9, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of over MYR 100, indicating a substantial valuation gap. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple of roughly 20 is comfortably under the industry average of 22.3, reinforcing the undervalued narrative. The company delivers a robust dividend yield near 5% supported by strong free cash flow and a payout ratio just under 83%, suggesting dividend sustainability. Recent news highlights a cash surge and better‑than‑expected commercial margins, which dovetail with a 17.6% revenue growth rate and a solid cash‑to‑debt profile. Technicals show the 20‑day SMA above the 50‑day SMA, but a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral trend indicate short‑term indecision. Volatility is elevated at about 27% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.35 points to low market‑related risk. Overall, the stock presents a compelling blend of value and growth attributes, underpinned by strong liquidity and a defensive risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- 20‑day SMA above 50‑day SMA indicating recent momentum
- Bearish MACD histogram suggesting possible pullback
- Increasing volume supporting price stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
- Strong cash generation and low debt levels
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Low beta implying defensive stock behavior
- Consistent revenue growth and solid free cash flow
- Robust balance sheet and continued dividend policy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.60%
Profit Margin2.87%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE18.75%
ROA8.64%
Debt/Equity2.69
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowMYR4.2B
Free Cash FlowMYR3.7B
Industry P/E22.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.2
SupportMYR 20.34
ResistanceMYR 22.98
MA 20MYR 21.68
MA 50MYR 21.00
MA 200MYR 21.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.5
Valuation
Fair ValueMYR 109.49
Target PriceMYR 22.03
Upside/Downside0.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.89%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.36
Volatility26.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.