PEG:NYSEPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) trades around $84, notably below its DCF fair value of roughly $88, implying about a 7% upside. The stock benefits from a solid dividend yield of 3.19% and a payout ratio just under 60%, but free cash flow is negative and debt‑to‑equity is high at over 140, raising sustainability questions. Technicals show the price sitting between the 20‑day SMA ($84.81) and 50‑day SMA ($81.83) with a neutral trend, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line suggests bearish momentum. Recent earnings calls highlighted robust year‑end results, a dividend increase, and ambitious capital investment plans, especially in nuclear‑generated, emission‑free electricity. Volume is increasing, and the beta of 0.43 indicates low market sensitivity, though 30‑day volatility sits near 20%, reflecting moderate price swings. Overall, PEG appears modestly undervalued with growth characteristics, but the high leverage and cash‑flow gap temper confidence.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price below DCF fair value offering near‑term upside
- Technical support around $80 and increasing volume
- Recent dividend increase reinforcing short‑term demand
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Stable regulated earnings offset by high leverage
- Neutral technical indicators and modest growth outlook
- Potential capital‑intensive projects may pressure cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Consistent dividend yield and regulated utility model
- Strategic nuclear and solar investments supporting future cash flow
- Low beta and defensive sector positioning for portfolio stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.