PCG:NYSEPacific Gas & Electric Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-23 - not real-time
$16.83
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
PG&E delivered a first‑quarter earnings beat, posting revenue growth of 2.6% and an operating margin above 21%, which exceeded analyst expectations. Trailing P/E of 14.3 is well below the industry average of 22.6, indicating a relative discount on earnings. A dividend yield of 1.18% coupled with a modest payout ratio of roughly 11% suggests the dividend is comfortably supported by cash flow. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of about $14.4 sits beneath the current market price of $16.8, flagging a potential overvaluation on an intrinsic basis. Analyst consensus targets of $22.8–$23.0 imply an upside of roughly 35%, reinforcing a bullish view from the sell‑side. Technicals show the stock trading near its 20‑day SMA of $17.57, with the 30‑day RSI at 35, hinting at short‑term oversold conditions.
The MACD remains in a bearish configuration, and the price is hugging the identified support level around $16.67, while resistance sits near $18.92. Volume is on an increasing trend, providing liquidity for potential upside moves. The beta of 0.45 underscores low market sensitivity, but the 30‑day volatility of 26% reflects the lingering uncertainty around California wildfire liabilities. Recent material news includes a $100 million settlement of a securities class‑action suit and a 20‑year nuclear license renewal for Diablo Canyon, both of which reduce legal exposure and secure long‑term generation capacity. Nonetheless, regulatory risk remains high as the utility continues to navigate wildfire liability reforms and potential rate adjustments. Overall, the blend of solid earnings, attractive dividend economics, and a sizable upside target outweighs the valuation gap, though the debt burden and regulatory headwinds temper enthusiasm.
The MACD remains in a bearish configuration, and the price is hugging the identified support level around $16.67, while resistance sits near $18.92. Volume is on an increasing trend, providing liquidity for potential upside moves. The beta of 0.45 underscores low market sensitivity, but the 30‑day volatility of 26% reflects the lingering uncertainty around California wildfire liabilities. Recent material news includes a $100 million settlement of a securities class‑action suit and a 20‑year nuclear license renewal for Diablo Canyon, both of which reduce legal exposure and secure long‑term generation capacity. Nonetheless, regulatory risk remains high as the utility continues to navigate wildfire liability reforms and potential rate adjustments. Overall, the blend of solid earnings, attractive dividend economics, and a sizable upside target outweighs the valuation gap, though the debt burden and regulatory headwinds temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Q1 earnings beat
- Dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Support level near $16.67
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst target price indicating ~35% upside
- Forward P/E of 9.3 suggesting growth potential
- Regulatory settlement reducing litigation risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Ongoing wildfire liability risk
- Stable regulated cash flows and dividend
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.60%
Profit Margin10.40%
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE8.21%
ROA2.43%
Debt/Equity187.04
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$8.7B
Free Cash Flow$-3413625088
Industry P/E22.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.7
Support$16.67
Resistance$18.92
MA 20$17.57
MA 50$17.94
MA 200$16.03
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.95
Valuation
Fair Value$14.41
Target Price$22.84
Upside/Downside35.73%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.18%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility26.54%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.