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PCG:NYSEPacific Gas & Electric Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$18.08

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

PG&E is trading in a bullish technical environment, holding above its longer‑term moving averages while the 20‑day average sits just ahead of price, suggesting upward momentum.
The Relative Strength Index sits comfortably in the middle range, and although the MACD histogram has turned negative, the overall trend remains bullish. Fundamentals show a price‑to‑earnings ratio well below the industry average, indicating relative value, while the dividend yield and low payout ratio point to sustainable shareholder returns. Recent news highlights an upgrade to a buy stance by a major investment bank and the reinstatement of a regular quarterly dividend, both of which bolster confidence. However, the balance sheet is heavily weighted with debt, and the company faces heightened regulatory and geographic risk given its concentration in California. Volatility is elevated for a utility, and trading volume has been tapering, adding a liquidity consideration. Despite these headwinds, analyst price targets cluster in the low‑twenties, implying a material upside from current levels. The combination of modest growth expectations, solid dividend sustainability, and a fair valuation relative to peers supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal amid decreasing volume
  • Price near short‑term support level
  • Upcoming dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst upgrade to buy and attractive upside to consensus targets
  • Earnings beat and raised guidance
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Regulated revenue base providing stable cash flow
  • High leverage and ongoing regulatory exposure in California
  • Consistent dividend policy supporting income investors

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.60%
Profit Margin10.40%
P/E Ratio15.3
ROE8.21%
ROA2.43%
Debt/Equity187.04
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$8.7B
Free Cash Flow$-3413625088
Industry P/E20.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.3
Support$16.30
Resistance$19.16
MA 20$18.25
MA 50$16.70
MA 200$15.60
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.55

Valuation

Fair Value$15.39
Target Price$22.20
Upside/Downside22.82%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.10%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility28.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.