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OPXS:NASDAQOptex Systems Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$10.22

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

At $10.22, Optex Systems Holdings, Inc shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 17.7%. Relative strength is 38.5 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $9.04 up to resistance at $12.57.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 18.6 sits below the sector average of 28.6. The average analyst target implies 55.6% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 12.4% on a 9.8% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 48.5%, a beta of 1.77 and a maximum drawdown of 43.2%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.

Top Market Events

RICHARDSON, TX / ACCESS Newswire / August 5, 2026 / Optex Systems Holdings, Inc.Yahoo Finance21dOptex Systems Holdings, Inc.Get the latest breaking news, sports, entertainment and obituaries in Panama, FL from Panama City News-Herald.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.75
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 18.6 versus sector average of 28.6
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.75

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 18.6 versus sector average of 28.6
  • Analyst targets imply +55.6% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -12.4%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-12.40%
Profit Margin9.77%
P/E Ratio18.6
ROE15.28%
ROA10.69%
Debt/Equity5.35
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$2.6M
Free Cash Flow$280.4K
Industry P/E28.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.5
Support$9.04
Resistance$12.57
MA 20$11.06
MA 50$11.91
MA 200$12.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.25

Valuation

Fair Value$1.19
Target Price$15.90
Upside/Downside55.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.77
Volatility48.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.