13:HKEXIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
HK$6.33
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) trades around HK$6.33, just above the computed support of HK$6.16 and below the 20‑day SMA of HK$6.40, indicating a modest upside to the resistance near HK$6.60. The stock’s PE of ~5.6 is dramatically lower than the industry average of ~16.4, and the PB of ~0.52 further underscores an undervalued valuation. Technical signals are mixed: a bullish trend direction and increasing volume support a near‑term bounce, while a bearish MACD and neutral RSI (~47) suggest caution. The dividend yield of over 5% with a payout ratio around 31% appears sustainable given the bank’s massive cash reserves, despite negative operating cash flow. Investor sentiment is in “Greed” territory (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9), and analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a median target near HK$7.59, implying upside of roughly 16%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited downside
- High dividend yield and low payout ratio
- Valuation gap relative to peers
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst median target price indicating ~16% upside
- Sustained undervaluation (low PE/PB) and strong market position
- Continued dividend attractiveness
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable, low‑beta exposure to China’s banking sector
- Potential regulatory headwinds in the Chinese financial system
- Long‑term dividend income with solid cash buffer
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.80%
Profit Margin54.33%
P/E Ratio5.6
ROE9.08%
ROA0.73%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$-1289548988416
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.4
SupportHK$6.16
ResistanceHK$6.60
MA 20HK$6.40
MA 50HK$6.36
MA 200HK$6.13
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target PriceHK$7.39
Upside/Downside16.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.31%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility20.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.