We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

13:HKEXIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

HK$6.33

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) trades around HK$6.33, just above the computed support of HK$6.16 and below the 20‑day SMA of HK$6.40, indicating a modest upside to the resistance near HK$6.60. The stock’s PE of ~5.6 is dramatically lower than the industry average of ~16.4, and the PB of ~0.52 further underscores an undervalued valuation. Technical signals are mixed: a bullish trend direction and increasing volume support a near‑term bounce, while a bearish MACD and neutral RSI (~47) suggest caution. The dividend yield of over 5% with a payout ratio around 31% appears sustainable given the bank’s massive cash reserves, despite negative operating cash flow. Investor sentiment is in “Greed” territory (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9), and analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a median target near HK$7.59, implying upside of roughly 16%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited downside
  • High dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • Valuation gap relative to peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst median target price indicating ~16% upside
  • Sustained undervaluation (low PE/PB) and strong market position
  • Continued dividend attractiveness

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable, low‑beta exposure to China’s banking sector
  • Potential regulatory headwinds in the Chinese financial system
  • Long‑term dividend income with solid cash buffer

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.80%
Profit Margin54.33%
P/E Ratio5.6
ROE9.08%
ROA0.73%
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$-1289548988416
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.4
SupportHK$6.16
ResistanceHK$6.60
MA 20HK$6.40
MA 50HK$6.36
MA 200HK$6.13
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target PriceHK$7.39
Upside/Downside16.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility20.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.