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OPTU:NYSEOptimum Communications, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

$1.06

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Optimum Communications (OPTU) is trading at $1.06, barely above its 52‑week low of $0.58 and well below the 20‑day SMA of 0.89, the 50‑day SMA of 1.23 and the 200‑day SMA of 1.78, signaling a strong bearish bias. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI (52.8) and a MACD line still negative despite a bullish histogram, while volume is increasing, suggesting traders are actively positioning. Fundamentally, the company posted a GAAP loss of $6.10 per share, a profit margin of –55%, and carries over $26.7 B of debt with essentially zero equity, resulting in a negative PE and PB. Recent news confirms the turmoil: the Q1 2026 earnings miss triggered an 11.6% price drop and multiple sell‑side downgrades, including a Raymond James downgrade to “underperform.” The stock’s 30‑day volatility exceeds 196% and its beta of 1.7 amplifies market moves, making it a high‑risk play despite a superficially low price‑to‑sales multiple.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Q1 earnings miss and large GAAP loss
  • Bearish SMA alignment and price near support
  • Extreme volatility and high beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential stabilization of subscriber base
  • Improving cash flow versus debt load
  • Continued sell‑side scrutiny

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable debt-to-equity structure
  • Negative profitability trends
  • Regulatory and competitive pressures in telecom

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.00%
Profit Margin-55.01%
P/E Ratio-23.6
ROA3.28%
P/B Ratio-0.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$89.4M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.8
Support$0.58
Resistance$1.52
MA 20$0.89
MA 50$1.23
MA 200$1.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Target Price$1.15
Upside/Downside8.49%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.72
Volatility196.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.