OPTU:NYSEOptimum Communications, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time
$1.06
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Optimum Communications (OPTU) is trading at $1.06, barely above its 52‑week low of $0.58 and well below the 20‑day SMA of 0.89, the 50‑day SMA of 1.23 and the 200‑day SMA of 1.78, signaling a strong bearish bias. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI (52.8) and a MACD line still negative despite a bullish histogram, while volume is increasing, suggesting traders are actively positioning. Fundamentally, the company posted a GAAP loss of $6.10 per share, a profit margin of –55%, and carries over $26.7 B of debt with essentially zero equity, resulting in a negative PE and PB. Recent news confirms the turmoil: the Q1 2026 earnings miss triggered an 11.6% price drop and multiple sell‑side downgrades, including a Raymond James downgrade to “underperform.” The stock’s 30‑day volatility exceeds 196% and its beta of 1.7 amplifies market moves, making it a high‑risk play despite a superficially low price‑to‑sales multiple.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Q1 earnings miss and large GAAP loss
- Bearish SMA alignment and price near support
- Extreme volatility and high beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential stabilization of subscriber base
- Improving cash flow versus debt load
- Continued sell‑side scrutiny
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable debt-to-equity structure
- Negative profitability trends
- Regulatory and competitive pressures in telecom
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-4.00%
Profit Margin-55.01%
P/E Ratio-23.6
ROA3.28%
P/B Ratio-0.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$89.4M
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI52.8
Support$0.58
Resistance$1.52
MA 20$0.89
MA 50$1.23
MA 200$1.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75
Valuation
Target Price$1.15
Upside/Downside8.49%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.72
Volatility196.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.