ONDS:NASDAQOndas Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$9.33
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Ondas Inc. is trading at $9.33, comfortably above its calculated support of $8.97 but well below its recent high of $14.16. The stock’s technical profile shows a bullish alignment of moving averages (20‑day SMA $10.68 > 50‑day SMA $10.18 > 200‑day SMA $9.24) and a neutral RSI at 43, while the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting short‑term momentum may be waning. Volatility is extreme – a 30‑day swing of 131% and a beta of 3.55 indicate the share price can move sharply on news. Fundamentally, the company commands an astronomical PE of 104 versus an industry average of 37 and a price‑to‑sales near 50, flagging significant overvaluation. Yet, recent headlines highlight a ten‑fold revenue surge, a $30 M order backlog, and a strategic merger with Mistral, which could unlock defense‑prime contract opportunities and improve future cash flows. Investors must weigh the upside from these contracts against the current cash‑burn, high valuation, and pronounced market risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram signaling near‑term weakness
- Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term buying pressure
- Support level at $8.97 providing a modest downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strategic merger with Mistral expanding access to U.S. defense contracts
- Robust $30 M new order flow and expanding backlog
- Bullish moving‑average alignment indicating a longer‑term uptrend
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Persistent cash‑burn and negative free cash flow limiting financial flexibility
- High valuation multiples relative to peers making price appreciation challenging
- Long‑term defense and autonomous systems market tailwinds supporting revenue growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1079.90%
Profit Margin251.92%
P/E Ratio103.7
ROE42.95%
ROA-4.25%
Debt/Equity0.73
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$-83385000
Free Cash Flow$-15650777
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.0
Support$8.97
Resistance$14.16
MA 20$10.68
MA 50$10.18
MA 200$9.24
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$20.13
Upside/Downside115.70%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta3.55
Volatility130.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.