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OMAB:NASDAQGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

$105.62

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte (OMAB) trades at $105.62, well below its 20‑day ($120.37) and 50‑day ($117.62) SMAs, indicating a short‑term price weakness that may be oversold; the RSI of 31 reinforces this view. Fundamentally, the stock appears attractively priced with a trailing PE of 16.9 versus the industry average of 29.1, a robust operating margin of 51.8%, and a dividend yield of 4.65% supported by a payout ratio of 83% and free cash flow of $2.85 B. Recent Q4 2025 earnings highlighted an 8.5% rise in passenger traffic to 28.8 M, and analysts have upgraded the outlook to “Outperform,” lifting the median 12‑month price target to $122.5 – roughly a 15% upside. Despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 119, the company generates strong operating cash flow ($7.53 B) and maintains a healthy ROE of 48.8%, suggesting the leverage is being managed effectively.
Technical indicators are mixed: the MACD remains bearish and the price sits just above a key support level of $104.56, while the broader market sentiment is in “Greed” mode (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9). Volatility is elevated at 37.5% over the past 30 days, but the low beta of 0.48 points to limited systematic risk. Considering the undervalued valuation, sustainable dividend, and positive earnings momentum, the stock is positioned for a rebound in the medium term, though short‑term traders should watch for confirmation of a technical turnaround.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price hovering just above support
  • Bearish MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst upgrade to Outperform
  • Forward EPS growth and low PE vs peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with strong cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term concession stability
  • Sustained passenger traffic growth
  • High ROE and cash‑flow generation despite leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin33.46%
P/E Ratio16.9
ROE48.84%
ROA19.21%
Debt/Equity118.91
P/B Ratio65.1
Op. Cash Flow$7.5B
Free Cash Flow$2.9B
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI31.0
Support$104.56
Resistance$134.99
MA 20$120.37
MA 50$117.62
MA 200$108.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$585.95
Target Price$122.08
Upside/Downside15.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility37.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.