OBEROIRLTY:NSEOBEROIRLTY FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
₹1,691.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Oberoi Realty is trading at ₹1,691.8, comfortably above its 20‑day (₹1,658.9), 50‑day (₹1,607.8) and 200‑day (₹1,621.5) simple moving averages, indicating a price momentum that aligns with the bullish MACD histogram (+2.74) and a moderate RSI of 57.7. The market exhibits a neutral trend direction, yet volume is on a decreasing trajectory, suggesting that the recent rally may be losing steam and that fresh buying pressure could be limited in the short run. The stock sits midway between a strong support zone at ₹1,571 and resistance near ₹1,730.3, while the 30‑day volatility of 23.35% and a historical max drawdown of -29.0% highlight appreciable price swings. The Fear & Greed Index at 91.5 (Extreme Greed) reflects heightened market optimism, but the negative computed beta (‑0.29) points to a slight inverse correlation with broader market moves, tempering the bullish sentiment. Overall, the confluence of strong price positioning, bullish technical signals, and elevated market optimism supports a cautiously optimistic stance, with attention needed to the waning volume and potential pull‑back near resistance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above all major moving averages
- Bullish MACD but decreasing volume
- Proximity to resistance at ₹1,730.3
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE of 15.98 suggesting valuation upside
- Extreme Greed sentiment indicating market confidence
- Tight supply‑demand regime supporting price stability
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Historical max drawdown of -29% highlighting downside risk
- High 30‑day volatility
- Strong fundamentals and market cap underpinning resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1691.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityHigh
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.7
Support₹1,571.00
Resistance₹1,730.30
MA 20₹1,658.91
MA 50₹1,607.75
MA 200₹1,621.45
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.52
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.29
Volatility23.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.