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OBEROIRLTY:NSEOBEROIRLTY FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

₹1,691.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Oberoi Realty is trading at ₹1,691.8, comfortably above its 20‑day (₹1,658.9), 50‑day (₹1,607.8) and 200‑day (₹1,621.5) simple moving averages, indicating a price momentum that aligns with the bullish MACD histogram (+2.74) and a moderate RSI of 57.7. The market exhibits a neutral trend direction, yet volume is on a decreasing trajectory, suggesting that the recent rally may be losing steam and that fresh buying pressure could be limited in the short run. The stock sits midway between a strong support zone at ₹1,571 and resistance near ₹1,730.3, while the 30‑day volatility of 23.35% and a historical max drawdown of -29.0% highlight appreciable price swings. The Fear & Greed Index at 91.5 (Extreme Greed) reflects heightened market optimism, but the negative computed beta (‑0.29) points to a slight inverse correlation with broader market moves, tempering the bullish sentiment. Overall, the confluence of strong price positioning, bullish technical signals, and elevated market optimism supports a cautiously optimistic stance, with attention needed to the waning volume and potential pull‑back near resistance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major moving averages
  • Bullish MACD but decreasing volume
  • Proximity to resistance at ₹1,730.3

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 15.98 suggesting valuation upside
  • Extreme Greed sentiment indicating market confidence
  • Tight supply‑demand regime supporting price stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Historical max drawdown of -29% highlighting downside risk
  • High 30‑day volatility
  • Strong fundamentals and market cap underpinning resilience

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1691.8
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityHigh
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.7
Support₹1,571.00
Resistance₹1,730.30
MA 20₹1,658.91
MA 50₹1,607.75
MA 200₹1,621.45
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.52

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.29
Volatility23.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.