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NUE:NYSENucor Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$169.47

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nucor’s stock is trading below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages (price ~169 vs SMA20 ~180 and SMA50 ~176), hugging a key support around $163, while the 200‑day average remains well above current levels, suggesting a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The RSI sits in the mid‑30s, indicating modest oversold pressure, but the MACD histogram is deep in negative territory, flagging short‑term bearish momentum and a decreasing volume trend that could limit upside pushes. Fundamentally, the company posted an 8.6% revenue growth rate and a forward EPS outlook that more than doubles the trailing figure, driving the forward P/E down to roughly 12×. A discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near $177, giving the market price about a 10% upside cushion, while the consensus analyst rating is a “Buy” with a mean target near $187. Dividend sustainability looks solid with a 29% payout ratio and a 1.3% yield, supported by positive operating cash flow despite a recent free‑cash‑flow dip.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near strong support level
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Limited short‑term upside until momentum shifts

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived undervaluation with ~10% upside
  • Forward earnings growth driving a low forward P/E
  • Analyst consensus and target price above current levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend yield and modest payout ratio
  • Steady revenue growth and solid operating cash flow
  • Strategic position in cyclical steel market with long‑term demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.60%
Profit Margin5.37%
P/E Ratio22.5
ROE9.36%
ROA4.81%
Debt/Equity32.77
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$3.2B
Free Cash Flow$-903374976

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.4
Support$163.29
Resistance$196.90
MA 20$180.30
MA 50$176.54
MA 200$149.62
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.3

Valuation

Fair Value$177.50
Target Price$187.31
Upside/Downside10.53%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.32%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.16
Volatility29.99%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.