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NTAP:NASDAQNetApp, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

$170.31

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: NetApp is trading well above its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram and accelerating volume, signaling strong upward momentum. The RSI has entered overbought territory, hinting at potential short‑term pullback, while a beta above one and elevated 30‑day volatility suggest the stock may experience larger price swings.
Fundamental backdrop: The company posted record fourth‑quarter results driven by AI‑focused infrastructure, all‑flash storage, and its Keystone storage‑as‑a‑service offering. Revenue growth remains double‑digit, margins are robust, and cash flow comfortably covers the modest dividend, which has a low payout ratio. However, a discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value below the current market price, implying the stock is presently overvalued despite strong earnings momentum and strategic partnerships with Cisco and Splunk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought zone suggests near‑term price pressure
  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value
  • High beta and volatility increase short‑term risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and strong operating margins
  • Expanding AI and cloud infrastructure demand
  • Strategic alliances enhancing market reach

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Robust cash generation supporting reinvestment
  • Long‑term tailwinds from hybrid and public cloud adoption

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.50%
Profit Margin18.43%
P/E Ratio26.8
ROE106.73%
ROA9.82%
Debt/Equity202.29
P/B Ratio24.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.1B
Free Cash Flow$1.3B
Industry P/E33.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI71.8
Support$113.90
Resistance$192.83
MA 20$143.34
MA 50$120.73
MA 200$112.84
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.14

Valuation

Fair Value$149.94
Target Price$169.88
Upside/Downside-0.26%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.22%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.36
Volatility73.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.