NRP:JSENEPI Rockcastle N.V Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-23 - not real-time
ZAC 14,880.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NEPI Rockcastle is trading in a bullish technical environment – the 20‑day SMA (14,722) sits above the 50‑day SMA (14,400) and the price (14,880) is comfortably above the 200‑day SMA (14,311). The MACD histogram is positive (≈10) and the RSI is at 65, indicating momentum but still below overbought levels. Volume is stable and the 30‑day volatility is modest at around 9%, while the beta of 0.17 suggests the stock moves far less than the broader market.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong profitability with gross margins near 69% and operating margins above 61%, and it is growing revenue at roughly 9% YoY. The trailing PE of 11.3 is far below the industry average of 32.3, pointing to a value tilt, and the dividend yield of 7.35% is attractive, though the payout ratio of 79% means sustainability hinges on continued cash generation. Debt stands at ZAc 3.1 bn with a debt‑to‑equity of 62%, but free cash flow remains healthy at ZAc 233 m, supporting the dividend. The DCF fair value (≈235) and the modest 2.3% upside to the resistance level suggest limited short‑term price appreciation, but the long‑term asset base and dividend profile provide a compelling case for value‑oriented investors.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong profitability with gross margins near 69% and operating margins above 61%, and it is growing revenue at roughly 9% YoY. The trailing PE of 11.3 is far below the industry average of 32.3, pointing to a value tilt, and the dividend yield of 7.35% is attractive, though the payout ratio of 79% means sustainability hinges on continued cash generation. Debt stands at ZAc 3.1 bn with a debt‑to‑equity of 62%, but free cash flow remains healthy at ZAc 233 m, supporting the dividend. The DCF fair value (≈235) and the modest 2.3% upside to the resistance level suggest limited short‑term price appreciation, but the long‑term asset base and dividend profile provide a compelling case for value‑oriented investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators with limited upside to resistance
- High dividend yield providing near‑term income
- Modest price upside reduces short‑term upside potential
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
- Strong cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
- Manageable leverage and solid operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust real‑estate asset portfolio in Central and Eastern Europe
- Attractive dividend yield for income‑focused investors
- Long‑term growth potential from asset development and lease‑up cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.30%
Profit Margin53.60%
P/E Ratio11.3
ROE10.06%
ROA4.06%
Debt/Equity62.04
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowZAC453.5M
Free Cash FlowZAC232.9M
Industry P/E32.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI65.2
SupportZAC 14,251.00
ResistanceZAC 14,987.00
MA 20ZAC 14,722.95
MA 50ZAC 14,399.54
MA 200ZAC 14,310.76
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.71
Valuation
Fair ValueZAC 235.24
Target PriceZAC 15,229.28
Upside/Downside2.35%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.35%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility9.24%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.