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NOC:NYSENorthrop Grumman Corporation analysis

Data as of Oct 20, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$546.11
Risk: medium
5/10Medium risk

Summary

Northrop Grumman Corporation trades at $546.11, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has gained 5.2%. RSI sits at 66.1, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $470.06 and resistance at $550.89.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 17.4 sits below the sector average of 27.6. The average analyst target implies 13.4% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 5.1% on a 10.5% profit margin. The 1.93% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 32.8%, a beta of 0.01 and a maximum drawdown of 38.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 89 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.

Top market events

  • Aerospace and defense technology company Northrop Grumman Corp.
  • Northrop Grumman NYSE:NOC shares advanced more than 1% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the US defence contractor...
  • Second-quarter revenue rose 5.10 percent to USD 10.88 billion. Northrop Grumman stock costs EUR 433.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 593.54
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 17.4 versus sector average of 27.6
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 593.54

Long term

> 3 years

Positive

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 17.4 versus sector average of 27.6
  • Analyst targets imply +13.4% versus the current price
  • Return on equity of 27.0%

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin10.48%
P/E Ratio17.4
ROE26.96%
ROA7.15%
Debt/Equity95.35
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$5.1B
Free Cash Flow$2.5B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI66.1
Support$470.06
Resistance$550.89
MA 20$496.18
MA 50$524.32
MA 200$593.54
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.43

Valuation

Fair Value$159.06
Target Price$619.08
Upside/Downside13.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.93%

Risk assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility32.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.