NMDC:NSENMDC FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time
₹89.92
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NMDC is trading at ₹89.92, just below its 20‑day SMA of ₹91.18 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of ₹88.29, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bullish framework (20‑day SMA > 50‑day SMA > 200‑day SMA of ₹80.31). The stock sits near the technical support of ₹86.42 and well under the 52‑week resistance of ₹97.49, while the RSI at 48.6 suggests neutral momentum and the MACD shows a bearish signal with the histogram at –0.26. Volume is increasing and volatility remains high at 34.7% over 30 days, reflecting active trading. Fundamental metrics are attractive: a forward PE of 8.93, dividend yield of 3.91%, and a market cap of roughly ₹790 bn support a valuation case, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 87.6 (Extreme Greed) underscores strong market sentiment.
Given the combination of a bullish trend direction, solid dividend, and modest valuation, NMDC appears positioned for continued upside, though the bearish MACD and proximity to support warrant a cautious stance. Investors should monitor the next move toward the ₹97.49 resistance and watch for any shift in the MACD or RSI that could signal a deeper correction.
Given the combination of a bullish trend direction, solid dividend, and modest valuation, NMDC appears positioned for continued upside, though the bearish MACD and proximity to support warrant a cautious stance. Investors should monitor the next move toward the ₹97.49 resistance and watch for any shift in the MACD or RSI that could signal a deeper correction.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price testing technical support at ₹86.42
- Bearish MACD signal
- Increasing volume indicating market interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend direction with SMA alignment
- Attractive forward PE and dividend yield
- Tight supply‑demand backdrop for iron ore
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Structural demand for iron ore in infrastructure
- Sustainable dividend policy
- Valuation near historical averages with moderate volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price89.92
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.7
Support₹86.42
Resistance₹97.49
MA 20₹91.18
MA 50₹88.29
MA 200₹80.31
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.64
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.05
Volatility34.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.