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NMDC:NSENMDC FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

₹89.92

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NMDC is trading at ₹89.92, just below its 20‑day SMA of ₹91.18 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of ₹88.29, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader bullish framework (20‑day SMA > 50‑day SMA > 200‑day SMA of ₹80.31). The stock sits near the technical support of ₹86.42 and well under the 52‑week resistance of ₹97.49, while the RSI at 48.6 suggests neutral momentum and the MACD shows a bearish signal with the histogram at –0.26. Volume is increasing and volatility remains high at 34.7% over 30 days, reflecting active trading. Fundamental metrics are attractive: a forward PE of 8.93, dividend yield of 3.91%, and a market cap of roughly ₹790 bn support a valuation case, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 87.6 (Extreme Greed) underscores strong market sentiment.
Given the combination of a bullish trend direction, solid dividend, and modest valuation, NMDC appears positioned for continued upside, though the bearish MACD and proximity to support warrant a cautious stance. Investors should monitor the next move toward the ₹97.49 resistance and watch for any shift in the MACD or RSI that could signal a deeper correction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price testing technical support at ₹86.42
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Increasing volume indicating market interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish trend direction with SMA alignment
  • Attractive forward PE and dividend yield
  • Tight supply‑demand backdrop for iron ore

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Structural demand for iron ore in infrastructure
  • Sustainable dividend policy
  • Valuation near historical averages with moderate volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price89.92
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.7
Support₹86.42
Resistance₹97.49
MA 20₹91.18
MA 50₹88.29
MA 200₹80.31
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.64

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility34.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.