NIC:ASXNickel Industries Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
A$0.92
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nickel Industries is trading well above its 20‑day SMA (≈0.97) and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA (≈0.95), keeping the price in a bullish zone despite a bearish MACD crossover and a modest RSI around the mid‑40s. Volatility remains elevated (≈48% over 30 days) and beta is slightly above 1, indicating heightened price swings relative to the market. The stock sits near the identified support level of ~0.84 and below the resistance around 1.06, with current volume trending downwards, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure.
On the fundamentals side, the company posted a revenue decline of roughly 9% and a negative profit margin, while the trailing EPS is still in the red. However, forward EPS is projected positive and the forward P/E of about 6.9 signals cheap valuation. A strong dividend yield near 4% is offset by a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising questions about sustainability. Recent news of a “major sales quota boost” and stronger margins for 2026 adds a growth catalyst, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with an upside potential of roughly 28%.
On the fundamentals side, the company posted a revenue decline of roughly 9% and a negative profit margin, while the trailing EPS is still in the red. However, forward EPS is projected positive and the forward P/E of about 6.9 signals cheap valuation. A strong dividend yield near 4% is offset by a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising questions about sustainability. Recent news of a “major sales quota boost” and stronger margins for 2026 adds a growth catalyst, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with an upside potential of roughly 28%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Neutral RSI suggesting limited upside momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings growth and low forward P/E
- Material sales quota increase improving margins
- Attractive dividend yield despite payout concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for nickel in electric‑vehicle supply chains
- Undervalued book value relative to price
- Potential upside to analyst target price around 1.10‑1.18
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.10%
Profit Margin-3.46%
P/E Ratio6.9
ROE-1.64%
ROA1.78%
Debt/Equity49.87
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash FlowA$187.9M
Free Cash FlowA$54.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.4
SupportA$0.84
ResistanceA$1.06
MA 20A$0.97
MA 50A$0.95
MA 200A$0.78
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.88
Valuation
Target PriceA$1.18
Upside/Downside27.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.94%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.08
Volatility48.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.