NFLX:NASDAQ

Netflix, Inc.

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$97.54

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Netflix (NFLX) is trading at $97.5, comfortably above its 20‑day ($85.7) and 50‑day ($86.8) moving averages but still below the 200‑day average ($109.6), signaling short‑term strength within a longer‑term bearish backdrop. The stock’s RSI sits at 69, nearing overbought territory, while a bullish MACD histogram (+2.26) and rising volume underscore recent momentum. Fundamentally, the company posted 17.6% revenue growth, a 48.5% gross margin and a stellar 42.8% ROE, with forward earnings expected to lift the forward P/E to 25.4.
Recent headlines highlight management’s decision to abandon the Warner Bros. acquisition, a move that investors have praised for preserving balance‑sheet discipline and sharpening focus on organic growth and advertising. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index “Extreme Greed”), and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “Buy” with a median price target of $112, implying roughly a 15% upside from current levels.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and increasing volume
  • Positive market reaction to deal‑discipline decision
  • Price approaching key resistance at $100.2

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE
  • Forward earnings expansion lowering P/E
  • Analyst consensus targets around $112

Long Term

> 3 years
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price still below 200‑day average indicating long‑term bearish bias
  • High valuation multiples relative to industry peers
  • Need for sustained subscriber and ad revenue growth amid competitive pressures

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.60%
Profit Margin24.30%
P/E Ratio38.6
ROE42.76%
ROA15.25%
Debt/Equity63.78
P/B Ratio15.5
Op. Cash Flow$10.1B
Free Cash Flow$24.8B
Industry P/E18.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI69.4
Support$75.01
Resistance$100.19
MA 20$85.67
MA 50$86.84
MA 200$109.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$166.39
Target Price$113.12
Upside/Downside15.98%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.72
Volatility50.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.