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NEE:NYSENextEra Energy, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$92.01

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NextEra Energy’s stock is trading at $92.01, just above its 20‑day SMA of $92.39 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of $87.17, indicating short‑term momentum. The 200‑day SMA sits at $79.24, reinforcing a long‑term bullish backdrop. RSI at 54.7 suggests the shares are neither overbought nor oversold. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, warning of potential near‑term pullback. Volume is increasing, supporting the underlying bullish trend. The DCF‑derived fair value of $90.24 is modestly below the market price, implying a slight premium.
Relative to peers, NEE’s trailing P/E of 27.9 is well above the industry average of 20.8, flagging valuation pressure. The dividend yield of 2.74% with a 68.7% payout appears attractive but is tempered by negative free cash flow and a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 146, raising sustainability concerns. A recent $2 billion equity unit offering, priced at a 7.38% yield, will dilute shareholders yet provide capital for debt repayment and renewable investments. Analyst sentiment has turned more bullish, highlighted by an upgrade to “Buy” from Hold. Rising electricity demand and the company’s expansive renewable pipeline support medium‑to long‑term growth. Overall, the stock sits in a low‑beta, low‑volatility utility sector, but the combination of modest upside and valuation headwinds suggests a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent $2B equity unit offering may exert dilution pressure
  • Bearish MACD signal and negative histogram
  • Price near short‑term resistance level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and rising electricity demand
  • Analyst upgrade to Buy and supportive sector outlook
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Expansive renewable and storage investment pipeline
  • Stable regulated utility cash flows from Florida Power & Light
  • Low‑beta profile and defensive utility sector positioning

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.70%
Profit Margin24.93%
P/E Ratio27.9
ROE8.37%
ROA2.57%
Debt/Equity146.24
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$12.5B
Free Cash Flow$-15209124864
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.7
Support$88.75
Resistance$95.91
MA 20$92.39
MA 50$87.17
MA 200$79.24
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$90.24
Target Price$93.65
Upside/Downside1.78%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.74%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility21.97%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.