NBN:NASDAQNortheast Bank Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$118.23
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Northeast Bank (NBN) posted a robust Q3 2026 earnings beat, delivering $29.9 million net income and EPS of $3.53, driven by a 34.6% revenue surge and an impressive 65% operating margin. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.15 versus an industry average of 16.69, indicating a clear undervaluation with an upside potential of roughly 15% to the consensus target of $136.5. Technicals show the price (118.23) sitting just above the 20‑day SMA (122.76) and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA (117.56), while the 200‑day SMA (106.57) remains well below, supporting a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD divergence and a neutral RSI at 44.7. Volume is tapering and volatility remains high at 32% over 30 days, suggesting short‑term caution, but the support level at $114.10 and a solid dividend yield of 3% with a minuscule payout ratio reinforce the stock’s defensive appeal. The market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear & Greed Index 89.43), which may further fuel price appreciation if earnings momentum sustains.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings beat but bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day volatility
- Price near immediate support at $114.10
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high operating margin
- Undervalued valuation metrics versus peers
- Attractive upside to target price and sustainable dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and solid ROE
- Low payout ratio indicating dividend sustainability
- Potential sector consolidation benefiting regional banks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth34.60%
Profit Margin42.71%
P/E Ratio10.1
ROE19.00%
ROA2.12%
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$4.0M
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.7
Support$114.10
Resistance$135.62
MA 20$122.76
MA 50$117.56
MA 200$106.57
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.43
Valuation
Target Price$136.50
Upside/Downside15.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.03%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.15
Volatility32.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.