APLE:NYSEApple Hospitality REIT, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
$14.85
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) is trading at $14.85, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA ($13.98) and 50‑day SMA ($12.95), confirming a bullish price bias, but the 14‑day RSI of 72.3 signals that the stock is in overbought territory. Technical momentum remains positive with a bullish MACD crossover (line 0.47 above signal 0.42) and price hovering near the resistance level of $14.995, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Fundamentally, the REIT delivers a high dividend yield of 6.46% but the payout ratio exceeds 130%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. The DCF‑derived fair value of $13.61 is below the current price, indicating the market is pricing in growth expectations that may be overstated. Revenue growth is modest at 3.1% YoY, while operating margins (14.2%) and profit margins (12.1%) are respectable for the hotel REIT sector. However, the balance sheet shows a high debt load (debt‑to‑equity 53.7%) and a max drawdown of 15%, underscoring financial leverage risk. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 25.5% and the beta of 0.86 points to slightly lower market sensitivity, yet the decreasing volume trend hints at waning buying interest. Recent earnings calls highlighted RevPAR growth and beat of consensus estimates, providing a short‑term earnings tailwind, but the broader “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 92.3) may be inflating the price. Overall, APLE sits at the intersection of strong cash flow and dividend appeal, but valuation, leverage, and overbought signals suggest caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought range
- Price near resistance with limited upside
- High payout ratio questioning dividend continuity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue and margin profile
- Elevated dividend yield but sustainability concerns
- Valuation above DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong portfolio of upscale hotel brands
- Potential for dividend policy adjustment
- Long‑term demand for hotel rooms supporting cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.10%
Profit Margin12.08%
P/E Ratio20.3
ROE5.42%
ROA3.19%
Debt/Equity53.67
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$369.9M
Free Cash Flow$324.5M
Industry P/E32.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI72.3
Support$13.13
Resistance$14.99
MA 20$13.98
MA 50$12.95
MA 200$12.29
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Fair Value$13.61
Target Price$14.00
Upside/Downside-5.72%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.86
Volatility25.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.