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NAZ:NYSENuveen Arizona Quality Municipal Income Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$12.79

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NAZ is trading at $12.79, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (12.72) and 50‑day SMA (12.51), confirming a bullish price direction despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum, while the stock holds a strong support level around $12.31 and faces resistance near $13.00. Volume has been trending lower, with recent daily volume (~11,300) well below the 10‑day average of 17,440, suggesting modest liquidity. The fund’s dividend yield of 6.15% remains attractive relative to peers, and the beta of 0.21 underscores limited sensitivity to market swings. A max drawdown of just 6.66% and a volatility of 14.9% over the past month point to a relatively stable risk profile. The Fear & Greed Index at 91.8 signals “Extreme Greed,” reflecting bullish sentiment in the broader market.
Given the stable discount (0) and no tracking error, the fund’s pricing appears fair, and the combination of high yield, low beta, and modest volatility supports a favorable risk‑adjusted return outlook. In the short term, the proximity to resistance and weakening MACD suggest a cautious hold, while the medium‑term outlook benefits from the bullish SMA alignment and strong income generation, warranting a modest buy. Over the long horizon, the fund’s concentration in Arizona municipal bonds and the low currency exposure keep the risk profile manageable, making a hold position appropriate.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near resistance with bearish MACD
  • decreasing volume indicating liquidity pressure
  • high dividend yield supports income focus

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price above all three SMAs confirming bullish trend
  • low beta and modest volatility enhance risk‑adjusted appeal
  • attractive 6.15% yield relative to comparable muni funds

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • stable discount and zero tracking error maintain pricing fairness
  • concentrated Arizona muni exposure limits sector diversification
  • low currency risk and consistent income stream

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price12.7893
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI55.1
Support$12.31
Resistance$13.00
MA 20$12.72
MA 50$12.51
MA 200$12.09
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility14.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.