ECC:NYSEEagle Point Credit Company Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time
$3.65
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ECC is trading at $3.65, barely above the computed support level of $3.46 and well below its 20‑day SMA of $3.77, indicating continued pressure despite a modest bullish MACD histogram (+0.045) and a forward P/E of 3.9 that suggests cheap valuation. The 14‑day RSI sits at 38, reflecting weak momentum, while volume has been decreasing, underscoring fading buyer interest. Volatility is elevated at 46% over the past 30 days and the fund’s maximum historic drawdown exceeds 57%, highlighting price instability. A strikingly high dividend yield of 39% is offset by a recent cut to the monthly common dividend to $0.06, raising sustainability concerns. The fund currently trades at NAV (discount/premium = 0) and the Fear & Greed index reads 67.75 (Greed), implying market optimism may be overstated. Overall, the technical picture is bearish, the income component is weakening, and risk factors are pronounced.
Nevertheless, the recent earnings beat and a announced share‑repurchase program provide a modest catalyst that could support a short‑term bounce, though the upside is limited by structural credit concentration and liquidity constraints.
Nevertheless, the recent earnings beat and a announced share‑repurchase program provide a modest catalyst that could support a short‑term bounce, though the upside is limited by structural credit concentration and liquidity constraints.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near support and below short‑term moving averages
- recent dividend cut reducing income appeal
- decreasing trading volume signaling weak liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- earnings beat and forward P/E indicating valuation headroom
- share repurchase program potentially supporting NAV
- persistent high yield attracting income‑seeking investors
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- potential NAV convergence if discount remains stable
- credit sector recovery could improve asset quality
- management’s willingness to adjust capital distribution
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price3.651
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.4
Support$3.46
Resistance$4.20
MA 20$3.77
MA 50$4.44
MA 200$6.07
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index67.75
Risk Assessment
Beta0.86
Volatility46.32%
Sector RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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CLOSED_END_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.