EDF:NYSEVirtus Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-30 - not real-time
$4.93
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $4.93, which sits below its 20‑day ($5.05) and 50‑day ($5.05) simple moving averages, indicating a modest short‑term weakness. RSI at 42 suggests the price is neither oversold nor overbought, while the bearish MACD histogram reinforces a tentative downside bias. Nonetheless, the price remains comfortably above the identified support level of $4.84, providing a floor before further downside pressure. Volatility over the past 30 days is roughly 22%, and the beta of 0.29 points to low sensitivity to broader market moves, which can be attractive in a market environment flagged as "Greed" by the Fear & Greed Index (68.39). The fund’s dividend yield is exceptionally high at 14.88% and the trailing P/E of 5.6 underscores the income‑oriented valuation. Recent news of announced distributions and a Seeking Alpha note about AI‑driven commodity price gains add positive momentum to the yield narrative.
Given the stable discount/premium at zero and a decreasing volume trend, liquidity is modest but not alarming. The combination of high yield, low market correlation, and supportive technical levels suggests a cautiously optimistic stance, while the emerging‑markets debt exposure and moderate drawdown (-15.6%) keep risk considerations in view.
Given the stable discount/premium at zero and a decreasing volume trend, liquidity is modest but not alarming. The combination of high yield, low market correlation, and supportive technical levels suggests a cautiously optimistic stance, while the emerging‑markets debt exposure and moderate drawdown (-15.6%) keep risk considerations in view.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High dividend yield (~15%) providing immediate income
- Price above support level of $4.84 limiting downside risk
- Upcoming distribution announcements reinforcing cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from AI‑driven commodity price trends
- Stable discount/premium indicating pricing efficiency
- Low beta (0.29) reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Emerging‑markets debt concentration entails medium sector risk
- Consistently high yield supporting total return over time
- Moderate volatility and drawdown levels suggest manageable risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Closed-End Fund Metrics
Market Price4.93
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.0
Support$4.84
Resistance$5.18
MA 20$5.05
MA 50$5.05
MA 200$5.01
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.39
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility21.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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CLOSED_END_FUNDThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.