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NAM:BSENam Securities Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

₹94.81

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nam Securities is trading at ₹94.81, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈₹80.18), 50‑day (≈₹81.87) and 200‑day (≈₹86.86) moving averages, and the MACD indicator is showing a bullish crossover (MACD line ≈ 1.68 vs signal ≈ ‑0.40). The RSI sits at 62, indicating continued upward momentum but still below overbought levels. However, the fundamentals are starkly out of sync: a trailing P/E of 249.5 versus an industry average of ~16.3, near‑zero profit margins, no dividend payout, and a 30‑day volatility exceeding 100% paint a picture of extreme overvaluation and earnings weakness.
The stock’s beta of 0.07 suggests minimal market‑wide risk, yet its thin trading volume (≈72 shares vs 10‑day average of 487) and a max drawdown of ~‑28.5% amplify liquidity and price‑risk concerns. In this context, while short‑term technicals look favorable, the lack of earnings growth, high valuation multiples, and elevated volatility argue for caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical momentum offset by extreme valuation (P/E ≈ 250)
  • Very high 30‑day volatility (>100%)
  • Thin trading volume raising liquidity concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential price correction as valuation normalises
  • Continued earnings weakness and zero cash flow
  • Low systematic risk (beta ≈ 0.07) may temper broader market swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental turnaround required for sustainable upside
  • Industry exposure to capital‑market cycles
  • Absence of dividend income limits total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.50%
Profit Margin0.53%
P/E Ratio249.5
Debt/Equity1.70
P/B Ratio4.4
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI62.1
Support₹68.00
Resistance₹99.90
MA 20₹80.18
MA 50₹81.87
MA 200₹86.86
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility101.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.