MYMI:NASDAQState Street My2029 Municipal Bond ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time
$24.63
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The MYMI ETF is trading at $24.63, just below its 20‑day ($24.68) and 200‑day ($24.69) simple moving averages, indicating a modestly bearish price bias. Momentum indicators reinforce this view, with an RSI of 38.6 (below the 40 threshold) and a MACD histogram that is negative, signaling short‑term downside pressure. Nevertheless, the fund’s core characteristics remain defensive: a beta of 0.03, 30‑day volatility of only 1.16 %, and a maximum drawdown of ‑1.68 %. The ETF delivers a tax‑exempt dividend yield of 2.87 % and carries a modest expense ratio of 0.20 %. Tracking error is effectively zero and the fund trades at NAV, reflecting excellent index replication. Liquidity, however, is a concern – average daily volume hovers around 200 shares with today’s trade count at just 110, suggesting a medium‑high liquidity risk.
Given the neutral to slightly bearish technical backdrop, a short‑term hold stance is prudent while we monitor price action around the $24.62 support level. For investors with a 2‑5‑year horizon, the combination of low volatility, stable municipal‑bond exposure, and attractive after‑tax yield makes a buy recommendation compelling. The fund’s ultra‑low beta and negligible tracking error further reduce market‑related risk. Over the longer term, as the 2029 target maturity approaches, the ETF’s principal protection and continued tax‑advantaged income support a hold position. The overall risk profile is modest, reflected in an overall risk score of 4 out of 10. Investors should remain mindful of the liquidity constraints and the inherent concentration in municipal bonds when sizing positions.
Given the neutral to slightly bearish technical backdrop, a short‑term hold stance is prudent while we monitor price action around the $24.62 support level. For investors with a 2‑5‑year horizon, the combination of low volatility, stable municipal‑bond exposure, and attractive after‑tax yield makes a buy recommendation compelling. The fund’s ultra‑low beta and negligible tracking error further reduce market‑related risk. Over the longer term, as the 2029 target maturity approaches, the ETF’s principal protection and continued tax‑advantaged income support a hold position. The overall risk profile is modest, reflected in an overall risk score of 4 out of 10. Investors should remain mindful of the liquidity constraints and the inherent concentration in municipal bonds when sizing positions.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near support at $24.62
- bearish MACD and RSI
- low liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 2.87% tax‑exempt yield
- low volatility and beta
- zero tracking error
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- approaching 2029 target maturity
- stable municipal‑bond exposure
- low expense ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.20%
AUM$13.6M
Inception Date2024-09-23
Avg Daily Volume210
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.87%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.6
Support$24.62
Resistance$24.79
MA 20$24.68
MA 50$24.65
MA 200$24.69
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.91
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility1.16%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.