MYMI:NASDAQState Street My2029 Municipal Bond ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time
$24.57
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
MYMI is trading at $24.565, essentially hugging its calculated support level of $24.565 and just below its 20‑day SMA of $24.67, indicating a price floor that has held in recent sessions. The Relative Strength Index of 28 signals oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in bearish territory, suggesting short‑term downside pressure may persist. Despite this, the fund’s 30‑day SEC yield of roughly 2.9% and a dividend yield of 2.87% provide a compelling income cushion for yield‑seeking investors.
Volatility is muted, with a 30‑day standard deviation of just 1.22% and a beta of 0.03, and the maximum drawdown to date is limited to 1.68%, underscoring the defensive nature of municipal bonds. However, the ETF’s tiny asset base (~$13.6 M) and daily volume averaging only a few hundred shares create a pronounced liquidity risk, especially given the decreasing volume trend. The expense ratio of 0.20% is modest and tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating most active‑management risk. The fund is fully concentrated in the municipal bond sector with a target maturity of 2029, which limits diversification but aligns with investors seeking tax‑advantaged exposure to that segment. The Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 91.7, labeled “Extreme Greed,” indicating a broadly risk‑on environment that could support demand for stable, tax‑free yields. Overall, the combination of strong yield, low volatility, and clear support makes MYMI attractive for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term traders should remain cautious of limited liquidity and bearish momentum.
Volatility is muted, with a 30‑day standard deviation of just 1.22% and a beta of 0.03, and the maximum drawdown to date is limited to 1.68%, underscoring the defensive nature of municipal bonds. However, the ETF’s tiny asset base (~$13.6 M) and daily volume averaging only a few hundred shares create a pronounced liquidity risk, especially given the decreasing volume trend. The expense ratio of 0.20% is modest and tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating most active‑management risk. The fund is fully concentrated in the municipal bond sector with a target maturity of 2029, which limits diversification but aligns with investors seeking tax‑advantaged exposure to that segment. The Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 91.7, labeled “Extreme Greed,” indicating a broadly risk‑on environment that could support demand for stable, tax‑free yields. Overall, the combination of strong yield, low volatility, and clear support makes MYMI attractive for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term traders should remain cautious of limited liquidity and bearish momentum.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price at technical support
- bearish MACD momentum
- limited daily trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
- attractive 2.9% SEC yield
- low volatility and minimal drawdown
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- target maturity alignment (2029)
- low expense ratio
- stable tax‑free income profile
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.20%
AUM$13.6M
Inception Date2024-09-23
Avg Daily Volume180
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.87%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI28.2
Support$24.57
Resistance$24.79
MA 20$24.67
MA 50$24.65
MA 200$24.69
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.71
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility1.22%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.