MTB:NYSEM&T Bank Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$208.66
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
M&T Bank (MTB) trades well below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, offering a clear margin of upside while maintaining a solid dividend yield and a comfortable payout ratio. Technical signals show the stock price above its 200‑day SMA, a bullish long‑term trend, yet the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit higher, creating short‑term support zones, and the RSI around the mid‑30s points to oversold conditions.
The recent quarterly dividend announcement reinforces cash flow strength, and analyst consensus remains a "buy" with median price targets near $230, suggesting the market still undervalues MTB’s earnings stability and regional banking franchise.
The recent quarterly dividend announcement reinforces cash flow strength, and analyst consensus remains a "buy" with median price targets near $230, suggesting the market still undervalues MTB’s earnings stability and regional banking franchise.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI suggesting potential bounce
- Price below short‑term SMAs creating near‑term support
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued DCF fair value vs current price
- Stable dividend with low payout ratio
- Positive earnings growth and operating margin
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability in a low‑beta regional bank
- Long‑term bullish trend above 200‑day SMA
- Strong capital base and manageable debt levels
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin31.04%
P/E Ratio12.3
ROE9.80%
ROA1.35%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$3.0B
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI35.1
Support$201.64
Resistance$239.00
MA 20$224.37
MA 50$218.77
MA 200$198.36
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.98
Valuation
Fair Value$263.85
Target Price$235.48
Upside/Downside12.85%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.88%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility26.63%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.