MSFD:NASDAQDirexion Daily MSFT Bear 1X ETF analysis
Data as of Oct 15, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $9.49
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares is bearish at $9.49, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. It has lost 8.5% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 34.1 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $9.29 and resistance at $10.48.
The 1.02% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $8.2M in assets.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.6%, a beta of -0.99 and a maximum drawdown of 38.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 4/10.
The 1.02% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $8.2M in assets.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.6%, a beta of -0.99 and a maximum drawdown of 38.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 4/10.
Top market events
- Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares MSFD - $0.
- On Thursday, Direxion released two new ETFs, the Direxion Daily Concentrated Qs Bull 2X Shares NYSE Arca: QQQU and the...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 12.50
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 12.50
- MACD momentum is negative
Long term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- High expense ratio of 1.02%
- Maximum drawdown of 38.4%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
Key metrics
Fund metrics
Expense Ratio1.02%
AUM$8.2M
Inception Date2022-09-06
Avg Daily Volume1,400,390
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield4.17%
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.1
Support$9.29
Resistance$10.48
MA 20$9.88
MA 50$10.18
MA 200$12.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.04
Risk assessment
Beta-0.99
Volatility22.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.