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MSA:NYSEMSA Safety Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$160.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MSA Safety delivered a strong Q1 with consolidated sales up 10% (including 3% organic) and margin expansion, underscoring resilient demand in the Americas and new product roll‑outs. The company’s fundamentals remain solid – revenue growth of 10%, gross margin of 46.8%, operating margin of 22.4%, ROE of 22.8%, and a forward P/E of 16.5 well below the industry average of 31.2. The dividend remains sustainable at 1.33% with a payout ratio under 30% and healthy cash flow coverage of debt.
On the technical side, the stock trades at $160.2, just below its 20‑day SMA of 164.2 and well under the 50‑day SMA of 167.6, while the RSI sits at 42 and the MACD shows a bearish divergence. Volatility is elevated at 25% (30‑day) and beta is modest at 0.91, suggesting the price may face continued pressure toward the support level around $155.8 before any upside to the resistance near $174.7.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMA
  • High 30‑day volatility
  • Support level near $155.8 limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings momentum and margin expansion
  • Forward P/E discount to industry peers
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Durable demand for safety equipment and ongoing product innovation
  • Robust ROE and healthy balance sheet
  • Long‑term growth potential in emerging safety‑regulation markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.00%
Profit Margin15.16%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE22.83%
ROA11.34%
Debt/Equity48.57
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash Flow$377.7M
Free Cash Flow$240.3M
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.3
Support$155.78
Resistance$174.71
MA 20$164.19
MA 50$167.61
MA 200$170.94
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair Value$113.69
Target Price$205.71
Upside/Downside28.41%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.33%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility25.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.